Your company wants to decide between Investment A, which will cost $100K
upfront, and Investment B, which will cost $150K upfront. If the economy performs
well, Investment A will bring in $750K for your company, but if the economy
performs poorly, then it will lose $250K for your company. If the economy performs
well, Investment B will bring in $850K for your company, but if the economy
performs poorly, then it will lose $300K for your company. There’s a 60% chance of
a strong market and a 40% chance of a weak market.
Assuming your company is risk-neutral, which option should you choose?