You observe the following term structure:
Effective Annual YTM
1-year zero-coupon bond
6.1%
2-year zero-coupon bond
6.2
3-year zero-coupon bond
6.3
4-year zero-coupon bond
6.4
a. If you believe that the term structure next year will be the same as today’s, will the 1-year or the 4-year zeros provide a greater expected 1-year return?
b. What if you believe in the expectations hypothesis?
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