When we hear that fair value is “plus 5”, it is meant that the futures contract has to be 5 points above the cash index’s closing price (index value) the previous day so as to be at its fair value. Although the index’s (like the S&P 500 stock index) value remains known the next day before the market opens (because it closed the previous day), the futures value fluctuates because of after-hours trading (at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, or CME) until 15 minutes before the market opens at 9:30 am.
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