Use Proposition 2.18 to complete the following exercises. (a) Write a univariate AR(1) model, Y t = φY t −1+V t , in state-space form. Verify your answer is indeed an AR(1). (b) Repeat (a) for an...


Use Proposition 2.18 to complete the following exercises.


(a) Write a univariate AR(1) model, Yt
= φYt−1+Vt
, in state-space form. Verify your answer is indeed an AR(1).


(b) Repeat (a) for an MA(1) model, Yt
= Vt
+θVt−1.


(c) Write an IMA(1,1) model, Yt
= Yt−1 +Vt
+θVt−1, in state-space form.


In Section 2.3, we discussed that it is possible to obtain a recursion for the gradient or score vector, −∂ lnL(θ; Y1:n)/∂ θ. Assume the model is given by (2.1) and (2.2) and At is a known design matrix that does not depend on θ, in which case Proposition 2.3 applies. For the gradient vector, show











May 23, 2022
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