Tour agency. A tour agency organizes standard and luxury tours for the following year. Once the agency has committed to these tours, the schedule cannot be changed. The state of the economy during the...


Tour agency. A tour agency organizes standard and luxury<br>tours for the following year. Once the agency has committed<br>to these tours, the schedule cannot be changed. The state of<br>the economy during the following year has a direct effect on<br>tour sales. From past records the agency has established the<br>following payoff matrix (in millions of dollars):<br>

Extracted text: Tour agency. A tour agency organizes standard and luxury tours for the following year. Once the agency has committed to these tours, the schedule cannot be changed. The state of the economy during the following year has a direct effect on tour sales. From past records the agency has established the following payoff matrix (in millions of dollars):
Economy (fate)<br>No change Up<br>Down<br>Standard<br>2<br>01<br>Luxury<br>1<br>3.<br>(A) Find optimal strategies for both the agency and fate (the<br>economy). What is the value of the game?<br>(B) What proportion of each type of tour should be arranged<br>for in advance in order for the agency to maximize its re-<br>turn irrespective of what the economy does the following<br>year?<br>(C) What is the expected value of the game to the agency if<br>they organize only luxury tours and fate plays the strat-<br>egy

Extracted text: Economy (fate) No change Up Down Standard 2 01 Luxury 1 3. (A) Find optimal strategies for both the agency and fate (the economy). What is the value of the game? (B) What proportion of each type of tour should be arranged for in advance in order for the agency to maximize its re- turn irrespective of what the economy does the following year? (C) What is the expected value of the game to the agency if they organize only luxury tours and fate plays the strat- egy "down"? If the agency plays its optimal strategy and fate plays the strategy “no change"? Discuss these and other possible scenarios.

Jun 08, 2022
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