The usual Pearson chi-square statistic for testing for independence in a two-way contingency table is where the Y ij are the observed frequencies in the table, and the µ ij are the estimated expected...


The usual Pearson chi-square statistic for testing for independence in a two-way contingency table is


where the Yij
are the observed frequencies in the table, and the µij
are the estimated expected frequencies under independence. The estimated expected frequencies can be computed from the maximum-likelihood estimates for the loglinear model of independence, or they can be computed directly as µij
= Yi+Y+j/n. The likelihood-ratio statistic for testing for independence can also be computed from the estimated expected counts as


Both test statistics have (r – 1) (c – 1) degrees of freedom. The two tests are asymptotically equivalent and usually produce similar results. Applying these formulas to the two-way table for voter turnout and intensity of partisan preference in Table 15.4 (page 435), compute both test statistics, verifying that the direct formula for G2
0
produces the same result as given in the text. Do the Pearson and likelihood-ratio tests agree?



May 22, 2022
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