The following data give, for certain years between 1982 and 2002, the percentages of British women who were cigarette smokers.
Year
1982
1984
1988
1990
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
Percentage
33.1
31.8
30.4
24.3
26.3
27.7
25.3
24.8
Treat these data as coming from a linear regression model, with the input being the year and the response being the percentage. Take 1982 as the base year, so 1982 has input valuex= 0, 1986 has input valuex= 4, and so on.
(a) Estimate the value of σ2.
(b)Predict the percentage of British women who smoked in 1997.
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