The flow of a certain river can be one of the following three states: 0: low flow 1: average flow 2: high flow We suppose that the stochastic process {X n , n = 0, 1, . . .}, where Xn represents the...


The flow of a certain river can be one of the following three states:


0: low flow


1: average flow


2: high flow


We suppose that the stochastic process {Xn,
n =
0, 1, . . .}, where
Xn
represents the state of the river flow on the nth day, is a Markov chain. Furthermore, we estimate that the probability that the flow moves from state
i
to state
j
in one day is given by the formula


(a) Calculate the probability that the river flow moves from state 0 to state 1 in one day.


(b) What is the probability that the river flow moves from state 0 to state 2 in two days?





May 13, 2022
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