The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) indexes are used as measures of overall movement in the stock market. The DJIA is based on the price movements of 30...




The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) indexes are used as measures of overall movement in the stock market. The DJIA is based on the price movements of 30 large companies; the S&P 500 is an index composed of 500 stocks. Some say the S&P 500 is a better measure of stock market performance because it is broader based. The closing price for the DJIA and the S&P 500 for 15 weeks, beginning with January 6, 2012, follow (Barron's website, April 17, 2012).




















































































Date



DJIA



S&P



January 6



12360



1278



January 13



12422



1289



January 20



12720



1315



January 27



12660



1316



February 3



12862



1345



February 10



12801



1343



February 17



12950



1362



February 24



12983



1366



March 2



12978



1370



March 9



12922



1371



March 16



13233



1404



March 23



13081



1397



March 30



13212



1408



April 5



13060



1398



April 13



12850



1370













Use the data to develop an estimated regression equation showing how S&P 500 is related to DJIA. What is the estimated regression model?



Letx represent the DJIA indexes.


What is the 95% confidence interval for the regression parameterβ1?










Based on this interval, what conclusion can you make about the hypotheses that the regression parameterβ1 is equal to zero?


What is the 95% confidence interval for the regression parameterβ0?









Based on this interval, what conclusion can you make about the hypotheses that the regression parameterβ0 is equal to zero?


How much of the variation in the sample values of S&P 500 does the model estimated in part (b) explain









Suppose that the closing price for the DJIA is 13,500. Estimate the closing price for the S&P 500.


Should we be concerned that the DJIA value of 13,500 used to predict the S&P 500 value in part (e) is beyond the range of the used to develop the estimated regression equation?


Explain.







May 19, 2022
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