The average speeds of cars on a highway are distributed according to a normal distribution. Today, John is on his way to work. As he enters the highway, he notices a car speeding by at 150 km/hr. Ten...


The average speeds of cars on a highway are distributed according to a normal distribution.<br>Today, John is on his way to work. As he enters the highway, he notices a car speeding by at 150<br>km/hr. Ten seconds later, another car speeds by at 160 km/hr. John concludes that today, cars must<br>be going faster for some reason. A few minutes later, John gets into a minor accident. Once again,<br>he concludes that it was inevitable - he got into the accident because cars were driving faster<br>today.<br>Explain what fallacies - if any-are involved in both of John's claims. Is John justified in his<br>conclusions?<br>

Extracted text: The average speeds of cars on a highway are distributed according to a normal distribution. Today, John is on his way to work. As he enters the highway, he notices a car speeding by at 150 km/hr. Ten seconds later, another car speeds by at 160 km/hr. John concludes that today, cars must be going faster for some reason. A few minutes later, John gets into a minor accident. Once again, he concludes that it was inevitable - he got into the accident because cars were driving faster today. Explain what fallacies - if any-are involved in both of John's claims. Is John justified in his conclusions?

Jun 04, 2022
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