Suppose you are Herb Stein, Chair of Economic Advisors to President Ford. OPEC has just quadrupled the price of oil. The entire economy uses oil in manufacturing (exaggeration, but not a big one),...

Suppose you are Herb Stein, Chair of Economic Advisors to President Ford. OPEC has just quadrupled the price of oil. The entire economy uses oil in manufacturing (exaggeration, but not a big one), consequently the costs reflected by the AS curve dramatically increase. Using the AD/AS model, what happens to output and prices? Same role, a recession with inflation now exists(stagflation), both are serious, 10% u/e, 14% inflation. You are thinking of proposing a solution to the recession, the negative GDP gap is $300 billion, the MPC is .75. Businesses won't increase Investment because of fear of losses You remember from your econ 101 class, that there is a multiplier effect for Government Expenditures. If you just want to fix this negative gap, how much Government expenditure would you propose? Same role, Using the AD/AS model, what would you expect to be the result of your proposal in the above question, with regard to output, and inflation?  Does the degree of the shape of the AD/AS curve (if AS curve is not only upwardly sloped, but the slope is increasing, and the AD curve is not only downwardly sloped but the slope is declining) matter to your answer? Why?

Jun 09, 2022
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