Solve the financial planning example with a 72-scenario event tree corresponding to two periods with returns given by ξ in Table 1 and one period with the original two return realizations given in Chapter 1. Let the first period solution be x1. Solve also for the 72-scenario event tree given by ˜ ξ in Table 2 and let the first period solution be x1. To test for their relative performance of these solution, perform a simulation with 1000 runs, where the initial allocations are x1and x1respectively and the random returns are ξt k for stage t drawn from the underlying lognormal distribution. For each run k = 1,...,1000 , for the second-period allocation, re-solve a two-stage model with input wealth (ξ1k )T x1and (ξ1 k )T x˜ 1 respectively for the two alternatives and then obtain solutions on the remaining (36-node) sample trees as xk2and xk2; then, use the second period return ξ2k , and repeat for the third and final periods to obtain sample objective values zkand zk. Compare the distributions of z and z for these samples by plotting their percentiles. What does this suggest about the use of adjusted samples?
Already registered? Login
Not Account? Sign up
Enter your email address to reset your password
Back to Login? Click here