Six months before its annual convention, the American Medical Association (AMA) must determine how many rooms to reserve. At this time, the AMA can reserve rooms at a cost of $100 per room. The AMA...


Six months before its annual convention, the American Medical Association (AMA) must determine how many rooms to reserve. At this time, the AMA can reserve rooms at a cost of $100 per room. The AMA believes the number of doctors attending the convention will be normally distributed with a mean of 5000 and a standard deviation of 1000. If the number of people attending the convention exceeds the number of rooms reserved, extra rooms must be reserved at a cost of $160 per room.


a. Use simulation with @RISK to determine the number of rooms that should be reserved to minimize the expected cost to the AMA.


b. Rework part a for the case where the number attending has a triangular distribution with minimum value 2000, maximum value 7000, and most likely value 5000. Does this change the substantive results from part a?



May 25, 2022
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