Show, in the continuous case, that the S-optimal 100(1- a)% credible set is given by (4.12), providing that has measure (or size) zero.
The waiting time for a bus at a given corner at a certain time of day is known to have a au (0, 6) distribution. It is desired to test 15. From other similar routes, it is known that 6 has a 9la(5, 3) distribution. If waiting times of 10, 3, 2, 5, and 14 are observed at the given corner, calculate the posterior probability of each hypothesis, the posterior odds ratio, and the Bayes factor.
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