Scenario Capital markets and the ability to raise funds for corporate uses are essential to the U.S. economic system.For this assignment, imagine you have $25,000 to invest in U.S. companies. You are...

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Answered Same DayOct 28, 2021

Answer To: Scenario Capital markets and the ability to raise funds for corporate uses are essential to the U.S....

Ishmeet Singh answered on Oct 31 2021
150 Votes
Stress Regression Results
    SUMMARY OUTPUT
    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R    0.9178437076
    R Square    0.8424370716
    Adjusted R Square    0.4485297505
    Standard Error    0.0231832917
    Observations    15
    ANOVA
        df    SS    MS    F    Significance F
    Regression    10    0.0114945935    0.0011494593    2.1386682261    0.2414052395
    Residual    4    0.0021498601    0.000537465
    Total    14    0.01364
44535
        Coefficients    Standard Error    t Stat    P-value    Lower 95%    Upper 95%    Lower 95.0%    Upper 95.0%
    Intercept    -0.3792214175    1.4240285805    -0.2663018304    0.8031705383    -4.3329585995    3.5745157646    -4.3329585995    3.5745157646
    Nominal
GDP growth    -0.002433308    0.0063739148    -0.3817603631    0.7220530958    -0.0201301327    0.0152635166    -0.0201301327    0.0152635166
    Nominal disposable
income growth    0.0048272007    0.0063160964    0.7642696371    0.4873023993    -0.0127090943    0.0223634958    -0.0127090943    0.0223634958
    Unemployment
rate    -0.0111185897    0.1154793174    -0.0962820869    0.9279275585    -0.3317405751    0.3095033958    -0.3317405751    0.3095033958
    CPI inflation rate    -0.0114067113    0.0101231381    -1.126795987    0.3228499565    -0.0395130484    0.0166996258    -0.0395130484    0.0166996258
    Mortgage rate    0.0026028832    0.0377363311    0.0689755232    0.9483195686    -0.1021699685    0.1073757349    -0.1021699685    0.1073757349
    Prime rate    -0.0512948202    0.0529427312    -0.9688737058    0.3874730735    -0.1982874071    0.0956977667    -0.1982874071    0.0956977667
    Dow Jones Total Stock Market Index (Level)    -0.0000006803    0.0000085636    -0.0794351406    0.9405018324    -0.0000244567    0.0000230962    -0.0000244567    0.0000230962
    House Price Index (Level)    0.0092244675    0.0052618088    1.7530982117    0.1544563338    -0.0053846556    0.0238335907    -0.0053846556    0.0238335907
    Commercial Real Estate Price Index (Level)    -0.0040370898    0.0013130125    -3.0746773737    0.037123428    -0.0076825969    -0.0003915827    -0.0076825969    -0.0003915827
    Market Volatility Index (Level)    0.0002333836    0.0011100118    0.2102532262    0.8437456973    -0.0028485033    0.0033152704    -0.0028485033    0.0033152704
    RESIDUAL OUTPUT                    PROBABILITY OUTPUT
    Observation    Predicted IRRp    Residuals    Standard Residuals        Percentile    IRRp
    1    -0.0476754382    -0.0087042835    -0.7024120472        3.3333333333    -0.0563797217
    2    -0.0158540509    0.0034244334    0.2763424762        10    -0.0137385413
    3    0.0047618391    -0.0037128745    -0.2996188876        16.6666666667    -0.0124296175
    4    0.0613865389    0.0105550295    0.8517622212        23.3333333333    -0.0036974931
    5    0.0170188245    -0.0011084414    -0.089448209        30    -0.0016621014
    6    -0.0066205589    0.0218902605    1.7664845846        36.6666666667    0.0010489646
    7    0.0069754514    -0.0086375528    -0.6970270612        43.3333333333    0.0076529544
    8    0.0394904028    0.0121930543    0.9839463803        50    0.00805945
    9    0.0317946913    -0.0237352412    -1.9153695249        56.6666666667    0.0152697016
    10    0.007291654    -0.010989147    -0.8867943295        63.3333333333    0.0159103831
    11    -0.0074658865    -0.0062726549    -0.5061862168        70    0.0271869903
    12    0.0496058408    -0.0063679875    -0.5138792984        76.6666666667    0.0390800324
    13    -0.0110573103    0.0187102647    1.5098675633        83.3333333333    0.0432378533
    14    0.0301000042    0.0089800282    0.7246638945        90    0.0516834571
    15    0.0334118781    -0.0062248878    -0.5023315457        96.6666666667    0.0719415684
Portfolio Design
    AMAZON        IRRa    FACEBOOK        IRRfb    FSMDX        IRRf    CDOFX        IRRc    VOO        IRRv    S&P 500 Benchmark        IRRb        Stress Test
    Date    Adj Close    IRRa    Date    Adj Close    IRRfb    Date    Adj Close    IRRf    Date    Adj Close    IRRc    Date    Adj Close    IRRv    Date    Adj Close    IRRb        IRRp    Nominal
GDP growth    Nominal disposable
income growth    Unemployment
rate    CPI inflation rate    Mortgage rate    Prime rate    Dow Jones Total Stock Market Index (Level)    House Price Index (Level)    Commercial Real Estate Price Index (Level)    Market Volatility Index...
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