Answer To: READ THIS FIRST Case: APEX CARBON FIBERS Learning Objectives To successfully apply financial...
Preeta answered on Apr 19 2021
READ THIS FIRST
Case: APEX CARBON FIBERS
Learning Objectives
To successfully apply financial analysis and
decision making techniques covered in the course
to a comprehensive case study, and to make
the relevant observations and recommendations.
Guidelines
1 Closely examine the questions you have to answer.
2 Figure out what weekly Guideline Solutions and Cohen Finance Workbook sections you need to review.
3 Proceed to answer the questions, one-at-a-time, as you refer to the needed explanatory material.
4 Give yourself enough time to prepare comprehensive answers that show what you learned; edit your
work before you submit it. Writing craft and grammar counts.
Questions
Flow Diagram and IS-BS Model are included for your convenience.
Use answer boxes on the question tabs. Keep each answer inside of its answer box.
Q1 Using historical financial ratios, judge Apex's performance.
What information would you need to appraise its business risk and financial risk? Do so to the extent possible.
Q2 Explain the meaning of Apex's financial statement forecast, i.e., what is the external financing required?
Can Apex repay the loan, and is the loan within Apex's debt capacity?
Q3 Calculate Apex's k-wacc. Explain.
Q4 Calculate NPV, PI, IRR and PP for the proposed robotics project. Then, explain whether or not
Apex should green-light or red-light the proposed investment project.
Q5 Calculate and explain fully the equity value of the business and whether it could be an LBO target.
Q6 Is equity financing a reasonable alternative to borrowing? Explain.
Q7 UNRELATED TO APEX
Explain to a group of people without a background in finance, using language they can understand and without jargon,
your opinion about the importance and effectiveness of worldwide financial markets.
THERE IS NO SINGLE CORRECT ANSWER.
THE PURPOSE OF THE ASSIGNMENT IS TO DEMONSTRATE WHAT YOU HAVE LEARNED TO DO IN THIS COURSE.
USE TEMPLATE RESULTS , CASE FACTS, AND YOUR JUDGMENT.
THINK LIKE A PROFESSIONAL… NOT LIKE A STUDENT.
DISPLAY YOUR ABILITY TO THINK CRITICALLY/ANALYTICALLY.
WRITE PROFESSIONALLY
Flow Diagram
INCOME STATEMENT BALANCE SHEET WORKING CAPITAL
Revenue ASSETS LIABILITIES AND EQUITY Changes spontaneously with revenue
Cost of sales Current assets Current liabilities What levels of ca, cl, s-t loans?
Gross profit Cash Trade payables CAPITAL BUDGETING
Other operating income Investments Other accruals Which projects to accept?
Other operating expenses Trade receivables Tax liabilities FINANCING
Total cost and expenses Inventories Short-term loans, leases How much debt capacity?
Operating profit (EBIT) Non-current assets Non-current liabilities
Interest, finance costs Property, plant & equipment Loans, debt, leases due after 1 year
Profit before tax Investment property Retirement benefit obligation COST OF DEBT
Income tax Goodwill Deferred tax liabilities
Net profit after tax Total non-current liabilities
Dividends K-WACC
Reinvested in the business Stockholder's equity (Net worth)
Preferred stock
OPERATING LEVERAGE Common stock COST OF EQUITY
Additional paid-in-capital
FINANCIAL LEVERAGE Retained earnings VALUATION
CASH FLOW
COST OF CAPITAL
IS-BS Model
FINANCING
THUMBNAIL SKETCH: DEBT EQUITY
BRIEF ANALYSIS HISTORICAL RATIOS I/S & B/S FORECAST DEBT
DUPONT RATIOS EFN
TIE
NORMAL DEBT RATIO WORKING CAPITAL EQUITY
STOCK PRICE I/S, B/S, & RATIOS EBIT CHART
MKT CAP
EXTENDED ANALYSIS
FULL RATIOS
LIQUIDITY
LEVERAGE Income Risk Control Mktblty Flex. Timing
ASSET USE CAPITAL BUDGETING
PROFITABILITY OP & CAP NATCF, NPV, IRR, PAYBACK
VALUATION
GROWTH
ANALYSIS STEPS:
1-HISTORICAL RATIOS
2-K-WACC K-WACC
3-CAPITAL BUDGETING
4-FORECAST & EFN VALUATION
5-EQUITY VALUATION ENTERPRISE VALUE USING FREE CASH FLOW
6-FINANCING
MARKET MULTIPLES: P/E, MV/BV, REV, EBIT
Ratio Interpretation
SAMPLE TABLE
RATIO / YEAR 2010 2011 % CHANGE INTERPRETATION NUMERATOR DEMONINATOR
Liquidity Ratios
Current ratio 1.6 1.3 -21% negative, less liquidity current assets current liabilities
Quick ratio 1.1 0.8 -21% negative, less liquidity curr assets-inventory current liabilities
Days sales in receivables 75.4 56.3 -25% positive, quicker collections receivables revenue/365 days
Days cost of sales in inventory 59.9 54.0 -10% positive, faster turnover inventory cost of sales/365 days
Days cost of sales in payables 47.6 65.0 37% negative, paying more slowly payables cost of sales/365 days
Leverage Ratios
Long-term debt to total capital 57.9% 45.5% -21% positive, less financial risk l-t leases+loans+debt l-t leases+loans+debt+equity
Long-term debt to equity 137.4% 83.5% -39% positive, less financial risk l-t leases+loans+debt equity
Times interest earned 1.8 3.8 109% positive, better coverage operating profit (EBIT) finance costs
Full burden coverage 1.5 3.1 107% positive, better coverage oper profit + lease exp finance costs + (lease exp/[1-tax rate])
Efficiency (Asset-Use) Ratios
Fixed asset turnover 1.2 1.4 19% positive, faster turnover revenue total non-current assets
Total asset turnover 0.8 1.0 21% positive, faster turnover revenue total assets
Profitability Ratios
Gross margin 23.9% 34.9% 46% positive, big improvement gross profit revenue
Operating profit margin 6.8% 11.3% 65% positive, bigger improvement operating profit (EBIT) revenue
Return on sales 2.7% 8.6% 216% positive, still bigger improvement net profit revenue
Return on total assets (ROA) 2.2% 8.5% 283% positive, still bigger improvement net profit total assets
Return on equity (ROE) 6.8% 21.2% 212% positive, big improvement net profit equity
Return on invested capital (ROIC) 4.7% 9.4% 100% positive, big improvement EBIT*I1-tax rate) total assets
DuPont Formula
DuPont Formula - ROE 6.8% 21.3% 212% profitability x efficiency x leverage
Profitability 2.7% 8.6% 216% positive, big improvement net profit revenue
Efficiency 0.8 1.0 21% positive, better turnover revenue total assets
Leverage 3.1 2.5 -19% positive, less financial risk total assets equity
ROE Check 6.8% 21.2% 212% calculation check to verify row 121 net profit equity
Compound Annual Growth Rates
Revenues 40.8% 2010 - 2009 2009
Gross profit 105.7% 2010 - 2009 2009
Operating profit (EBIT) 131.9% 2010 - 2009 2009
Total assets 16.0% 2010 - 2009 2009
About APEX
Q1 Q2 FIN'L STATEMENTS&RATIOS
APEX CARBON FIBERS ANSWER QUESTIONS BEGINNING AT ROW 70
Historical and Projected Financial Statements
Years Ended December 31. Assume today is December 31, 2019
(000) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Projected) (Projected)
Sales 71,924 80,115 92,613 106,042 110,284 114,695
Operating expenses:
Production costs and expenses 33,703 38,393 46,492 53,445 55,142 57,348
Admin. and selling expenses 16,733 17,787 21,301 24,633 25,365 26,380
Depreciation 8,076 9,028 10,392 11,360 15,260 19,160
Total operating expenses 58,512 65,208 78,185 89,438 95,767 102,887
Operating profit 13,412 14,907 14,428 16,604 14,517 11,808
Interest expense 3,487 3,929 6,227 7,614 8,227 8,967
Earnings before taxes 9,925 10,978 8,201 8,990 6,289 2,841
Income taxes 2,432 2,690 2,009 2,203 1,541 696
Net earnings 7,494 8,288 6,192 6,787 4,748 2,145
Dividends to all common shares 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Retentions of earnings 5,494 6,288 4,192 4,787 2,748 145
(000) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Projected) (Projected)
Assets
Cash 4,816 5,670 5,090 5,795 5,795 5,795
Accounts receivable 22,148 25,364 28,078 35,486 35,486 35,485
Inventories 23,301 27,662 53,828 63,778 63,778 63,777
Total current assets 50,265 58,696 86,996 105,059 105,059 105,057
Gross property plant & equipt. 64,611 80,153 97,899 115,153 115,153 115,153
Accumulated depreciation -4,559 -13,587 -23,979 -35,339 -46,699 -65,859
Net property plant & equipt. 60,052 66,566 73,920 79,814 68,454 49,294
Total assets 110,317 125,262 160,916 184,873 173,513 154,351
Liabilities and stockholders' equity:
Short-term borrowings (bank) 29,002 35,462 69,005 82,275 91,226 102,023
Accounts payable 12,315 12,806 11,890 13,370 13,370 13,369
Other accrued liabilities 24,609 26,315 25,150 21,370 21,318 21,318
Total current liabilities 65,926 74,583 106,045 117,015 125,914 136,710
Long-term debt 10,000 10,000 10,000 18,200 18,200 18,200
Shareholders' equity 34,391 40,679 44,871 49,658 52,407 52,551 prev SE+RE
Total liabilities & stockholders' equity 110,317 125,262 160,916 184,873 196,521 207,461
EFN -3 -4 Enter correct formula in G41 and H41
to calculate EFN for 2020 and 2021
2016 2017 2018 2019 % change 2016-2019 2020 2021
(Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Projected) (Projected)
PROFITABILITY:
Operating margin 18.6% 18.6% 15.6% 15.7% -16.0% 13.2% 10.3%
Tax rate 24.5% 24.5% 24.5% 24.5% 0.0% 24.5% 24.5%
Return on sales 10.4% 10.3% 6.7% 6.4% -38.6% 4.3% 1.9%
Return on equity 21.8% 20.4% 13.8% 13.7% -37.3% 9.1% 4.1%
Return on assets 6.8% 6.6% 3.8% 3.7% -46.0% 2.7% 1.4%
LEVERAGE:
Debt/equity ratio 113.4% 111.8% 176.1% 202.3% 78.4% 208.8% 228.8%
Debt/total capital 35.4% 36.3% 49.1% 54.3% 53.7% 55.7% 57.9%
EBIT/interest 3.8 3.8 2.3 2.2 -43.3% 1.8 1.3
ASSET USE:
Sales/assets 65.2% 64.0% 57.6% 57.4% -12.0% 63.6% 74.3%
Sales growth rate 15.0% 11.4% 15.6% 14.5% -3.3% 4.0% 4.0%
Assets growth rate 8.0% 13.5% 28.5% 14.9% 86.1% -6.1% -11.0%
Days sales outstanding 112 116 111 122 8.7% 120 120
Days payable outstanding 133 122 93 91 -31.5% 90 90
Days inventory outstanding 252 263 423 436 72.6% 435 435
LIQUIDITY:
Current ratio 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 17.8% 0.8 0.8
Quick ratio 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 -13.7% 0.3 0.3
Q1a.
- Enter inputs in empty cells in the balance sheet (G25, G26, G35, H25, H26, H35). Hint: review Wk 6 guideline solutions.
- Calculate the % change (yellow highlighted cells).
- Using historical financial ratios, judge Apex's performance.
Hint for getting started:
See sample table in the Ratio Interpretation tab as a quick reference on how to interpret the % change to guide your analysis.
Then add your comments below each header (Profitability, Leverage, etc.)
Profitability
The profitability position of the company is not good as the ratios hjave fallen between 2016 to 2019 and the company need to increase the profits in order to sustain in the long run.
Leverage
The leverage position of the company is also not good since there has been constant increase in the debt and in the long run, the company will face difficulty in paying off the interests, which is also evident as EBIt is falling compared to interest over the year. The leverage position also need to be improved.
Efficiency (Asset Use)
Even though there is a growth in the asset value yet the growth in sales is not at par with that. In fact the value of sale showed a decreasing trend in comparison to asset. The payable ratio has fallen showing worsening of fiancial situation of the organization. The invntory ratio also increased considerably showing that the company mainatained much more inventory than required. The only positive ratio was debtors payable. But overall the company is not operating efficently.
Liquidity
Both current ratio as well as quick ratio are far below the ideal level, which is 2 for current ratio and 1 for quick ratio. The company will gface difficulty in paying off its short term obligations and need to improve the liquidity position.
Conclusion
None of the ratios of the company is positive and so it is not at a good fiancial position and its performance is also not good.
Q1b. What information would you need to appraise its business risk and financial risk? Do so to the extent possible.
Financial risk
The financial risk can be measured by lverage and liquidity ratio that is if the company is being able to pay off both short term as well as long term loan. As evident from the ratio, the company is at financial risk.
Business risk
The operation of the business should be efefctive and efficent. The effiicency ratios are an indicator for that. As these ratios indicate hoe effciently the company is using its assets and is generating revenue. These ratios are also not good for the company.
Q2.
- Calculate EFN in G41 and H41
- Explain the meaning of Apex's financial statement forecast, i.e, what is the external financing needed (EFN)?
- Can Apex repay the loan, and is the loan within Apex's debt capacity?
Use the table in Q6 row 63-71 to calculate debt capacity to answer this question
SCORING FOR THE EFN PART OF THE QUESTION IS BASED ON YOUR ABILITY TO SIZE-UP THE INFORMATION AND CRAFT AS
REASONABLE ANSWER ABOUT EFN.
The company requires external financing of at least $200,000 and the amount is within the debt paying capacity of the organization. It can repay the loans.
PEER DATA
DATA ON PEER COMPANIES (COMPARABLES)
Number of
Percent Sales Price/ Market Shares Last Annual
from Carbon Fiber Earnings Book Book Value Price Outstanding Dividend
Name Production Ratio Beta Debt/Equity per Share per Share (millions) per Share
Peer A 20% 9.0 1.10 0.23 1.24 1.37 9.3 1.82
Peer B 95% NMF 1.50 1.72 1.46 6.39 177.2 0.15
Peer C 90% 18.2 1.70 1.33 7.06 27.48 8.9 none
Peer D 30% 34.6 1.20 0.00 17.75 75.22 48.3 none
Peer E 45% NMF 1.50 0.42 6.95 22.19 371.2 1.57
Note: NMF means not a meaningful figure. This arises when a company's earnings or projected earnings are negative.
Q3 K-WACC
WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED 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