QUESTION 4 Conditional probability multiplication rule Medical test example. A medical test has been developed to test for a certain condition. The outcomes of this test are not perfect, but...

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Extracted text: QUESTION 4 Conditional probability multiplication rule Medical test example. A medical test has been developed to test for a certain condition. The outcomes of this test are not perfect, but reasonably accurate. The probability of a positive or negative result depends on whether the individual actually has the condition or not, and will be given as a conditional probability. p( + | condition ) = 0.9 p( - | condition ) = 0.1 p( - | not condition) = .95 p( +| not condition) = 0.05 find the probability of each of the four possible outcomes if 30% of those tested have this condition.