Answer To: Activity 1 You are approached by a large pension fund with assets of $60bn who currently have a very...
Ishmeet Singh answered on Oct 22 2021
ACTIVITY-1
Analysis of the traditional fund:
According to the Question, the pension fund’s traditional (though global) asset allocation model, which is 60% equities and 40% fixed income. They employ a mix of active and passive investments using the MSCI World Equity and Citigroup World Government Bond indices as their benchmark.
Therefore stock return regression with respect to MSCI world equity keeping the World Government Bond Indices as benchmark goes by:
According to the graph it shows that the relation between Citigroup and MSCI is –ve slope based furthermore with 1% increase in the MSCI fund there is a .79% dip in Citigroup. Also, there are huge deviations from the regression line which means the interdependencies of these funds depends on more factors and only 6.48% of dependency is captured by this relation.
The above fund is more like a hedging fund and returns maybe conservative from long terms prospects.
MOUNTAIN CHART (MSCI vs. World Group Bench)
PORTFOLIO RECOMMENDED:
HEDGE FUNDS:
According to the graph it shows that the relation between Benchmark and other hedge funds. Also, there are less deviations from the regression line which means the interdependencies of these funds depends more on benchmark factors and thus is more reliable and average 48% of dependency is captured by this relation based on individual R square value captured.
The above fund is more like a hedging fund and returns maybe conservative and thus more reliable from long terms prospects.
PE/VC FUNDS:
Annualized
Return
15.51%
Variance
3.44%
Standard Deviation
34.38%
REAL ESTATE FUNDS:
Annualized
Return
11.21%
Variance
2.14%
Standard Deviation
24.55%
COMMODITY FUNDS:
Annualised
Return
3.7%
Variance
5.7%
Standard Deviation
47.7%
PORTFOLIO SUMMARY:
Hedge
Commodity
Annualised
Annualised
Return
6.01%
Return
3.74%
Variance
0.91%
Variance
5.69%
Standard Deviation
30.64%
Standard Deviation
47.70%
PE/VC
Real Estate
Annualised
Annualised
Return
15.51%
Return
11.21%
Variance
3.44%
Variance
2.14%
Standard Deviation
34.38%
Standard Deviation
24.55%
SCENARIO MANAGER (Scenario1)
Portfolio calculator
Weights
Output
Hedge
1
0.1
Commodity
2
0.2
Real Estate
3
0.3
PE/VC
4
0.4
Portfolio Return
10.48%
Variance
3.12%
Std. Deviation
32.74%
ACTIVITY-2
Alternative Investments are basically the means of adding a sort of a diversification to a portfolio and help in mitigating the risk associated with the investments.
Mechanics of alternative investments goes by:
1. Liquidity
2. Price Transparency
3. Hidden Charges
4. Tax Rebate
5. Lock in Period
Yes, incentive fee does influence the behavior of the manager as it makes him/her more responsible for the portfolio considering long term aspects most often these charges are in the form of mortality and other hidden charges.
Issues can be resolved by undertaking these policies in an authoritative regulator where the charges can be standardized and auditing measures can safeguard competition as well associated with the domain.
Alternative investments are however getting more & more popular day by day for investors. Proponents of these nontraditional portfolio is able to maintain the average investor will now have the access to all his assets not correlated rather smoothened to the stock market, offering diversification and potentially a source of higher returns when compared to traditional investments like stocks, and bonds. Alternatives are sometimes although complex and often viable to higher risk than traditional investments to which most individual investors are accustomed depending on the risk taking appetite.
ACTIVITY-3
As per the theory Sharpe Ratio is obtained:
Subtracting the risk free rate from the portfolio returns allows an investor to better isolate the profits associated with risk-taking activities. The risk-free rate of return is the return on an investment with zero risk, meaning it's the return investors could expect for taking no risk. The yield for a U.S. Treasury bond, for example, could be used as the risk-free rate.
Generally, the greater the value of the Sharpe ratio, the more attractive the risk-adjusted return.
Takeaways:
1. Adjusts portfolios past performance or future expectations based on the risk appetite.
2. Greater the value better is the fund
3. Based on the assumption that returns are normally distributed.
Conclusion:
Based on the data analysis performed in the excel it is evident that portfolio outperforms the traditional fund. Basically, the Sharpe ratio gives a measure of where the curve will switch the slope line at what deviation the more the value is the more is the expectation of arriving at the desired returns.
REFERENCES:
1. Amenc, N., S. El Bied, and L. Martellini. 2003. ‘‘Predictability in Hedge Fund Returns.’’ Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 59, No. 5, Sept./Oct.: 32–46.
2. Amenc, N., and L. Martellini. 2002. ‘‘Portfolio Optimization and Hedge Fund Style Allocation Decisions.’’ Journal of Alternative Investments, Fall: 7–20.
3. Anson, M. 2002. Handbook of Alternative Assets. Hoboken, N.J., The Frank J. Fabozzi Series, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Anson, M. 2004.
4. ‘‘Strategic versus Tactical Asset Allocation: Beta versus Alpha Drivers.
5. ’’ Journal of Portfolio Management, Winter: 8–22. Anson, M., S. Hudson-Wilson, and F. Fabozzi. 2005. ‘‘Privately Traded Real Estate Equity.
6. ’’ Journal of Portfolio Management (Special Real Estate Issue), September: 109–113. Arshanapalli, B., T. Goggin, and W. Nelson. 2001.
7. ‘‘Is Fixed-Weight Asset Allocation Really Better?’’ Journal of Portfolio Management, Spring: 27–38. Asness, C. 2002.
8. ‘‘Do Hedge Funds Add Value?’’ AIMR Conference Proceedings on Hedge Fund Management, April: 16–26. Atkins, B, and M. Giannini. 2003.
9. ‘‘Risk Management for Private Equity Funds of Funds.’’ In L. Jaeger (ed.), The New Generation of Risk Management for Hedge Funds and Private Equity Investments. London: Euromoney Books, pp. 215–227.
10. Bacmann, J.-F., G. Gawron. 2004. ‘‘Fat Tail Risk in Portfolios of Hedge Funds and Traditional Investments.’’ RMF Investment Management, white paper. Pfaffikon, Switzerland. Bank for International Settlements. 2005.
11. ‘‘Triennial Central Bank Survey: Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity in 2004.’’ Basel, Switzerland. Banz, R. 2004.
12. ‘‘Where Have They Hidden My Alpha?’’ Pictet Asset Management. Geneva, Switzerland. Barra, Inc. 1998. ‘‘Forecasting Risk with Multiple-Factor Models.
13. ’’ Barra Risk Model Handbook. Berkeley, California. Blaschka, F. 2003. ‘‘Benchmarking Real Estate Performance—Considerations and Implications.
14. ’’ The Townsend Group. Blaschka, F. 2005. ‘‘Underappreciated Risks in Today’s Institutional Investing Environment.’’ PREA Quarterly, Fall: 41–47.
15. Brown, W. 2000. ‘‘Convertible Arbitrage: Opportunity & Risk.’’ Tremont Capital Management. Rye, New York. Cardie, H., K. Cattanach, and M. Kelly. 2000.
16. ‘‘How Large Should Your Commitment to Private Equity Really Be?’’ Journal of Wealth Management
Public Real Estate (NAREIT) Q1 1994 Q2 1994 Q3 1994 Q4 1994 Q1 1995 Q2 1995 Q3 1995 Q4 1995 Q1 1996 Q2 1996 Q3 1996 Q4 1996 Q1 1997 Q2 1997 Q3 1997 Q4 1997 Q1 1998 Q2 1998 Q3 1998 Q4 1998 Q1 1999 Q2 1999 Q3 1999 Q4 1999 Q1 2000 Q2 2000 Q3 2000 Q4 2000 Q1 2001 Q2 2001 Q3 2001 Q4 2001 Q1 2002 Q2 2002 Q3 2002 Q4 2002 Q1 2003 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Q1 2004 Q2 2004 Q3 2004 Q4 2004 Q1 2005 Q2 2005 Q3 2005 Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 9.3329842736129764E-2 -3.078607101320463E-3 6.2448531430139287E-3 -1.2156448202959802E-2 4.6221025561366202E-2 4.0648662916343836E-2 8.1958117341196068E-2 5.1838068306691465E-2 3.8557439161988727E-2 5.1142079214560709E-2 7.4058951129258643E-2 0.19703233777651064 6.4063756091267354E-2 2.7347174809259966E-2 0.12842953897554166 6.1870434138964203E-3 1.5264550899161122E-2 -5.6643301567299464E-2 -9.370669071114901E-2 -5.2425520938887415E-2 -3.1575979701155998E-2 0.10783516538673887 -0.10274835307230168 -2.7166777757580141E-3 1.5807755015240676E-2 0.16062207157810793 6.4077236261187664E-2 5.2913256163123146E-2 -1.3907096912685879E-2 0.13042768400674842 -6.2056822949263735E-2 5.3381826714377967E-2 8.8029737706743827E-2 3.4682857545009105E-2 -9.5447153466111656E-2 -6.9589232125889522E-3 2.0974881082681085E-2 0.1248145850751099 9.7393722876255806E-2 0.10118202276650146 0.10152777777777766 -4.7350361150638287E-2 8.4536735475270852E-2 0.16736184660712983 -7.8309114532773894E-2 0.1540698851990181 2.01441929686621E-2 4.1749961291654536E-2 0.15688528217882269 -3.0750651642023619E-2 0.11042185815527628 9.4411994079355521E-2 2.4419624895171355E-2 -8.0735260367251649E-2 1.9537744833088677E-2 -0.13721564875378989 1.7754786155480096E-2 -4.9454482728880089E-2 -1.7542108621946495E-2 -0.41567821003407901 -0.27254000115907207 0.31239815465283871 0.37010793987153168 9.9504591590140024E-2 8.9785153030386367E-2 -4.4239398981495648E-2 0.11898682535328153 8.0524003193301663E-2 3.891665163793756E-2 5.5545756163117854E-2 -0.12179976870271925 0.12250630502741 9.3527425365604211E-2 4.6092066022972222E-2 1.3430996198864342E-3 1.4167020979218181E-2 9.132158855602257E-2 -1.422219392357249E-2 -1.9708739536325681E-2 -1.4735015703586485E-2 8.985490446967348E-2 8.005358859503775E-2 -2.850493041365465E-2 0.15673580937120501 2.3200124030589686E-2 -9.9035029785776385E-2 1.6086633835309394E-2 9.5288555298486122E-2 3.9551381974136213E-2 5.6478142844953894E-2 8.5384056258654972E-3 -5.308933986816633E-2 Private Real Estate (NCREIF) Q1 1994 Q2 1994 Q3 1994 Q4 1994 Q1 1995 Q2 1995 Q3 1995 Q4 1995 Q1 1996 Q2 1996 Q3 1996 Q4 1996 Q1 1997 Q2 1997 Q3 1997 Q4 1997 Q1 1998 Q2 1998 Q3 1998 Q4 1998 Q1 1999 Q2 1999 Q3 1999 Q4 1999 Q1 2000 Q2 2000 Q3 2000 Q4 2000 Q1 2001 Q2 2001 Q3 2001 Q4 2001 Q1 2002 Q2 2002 Q3 2002 Q4 2002 Q1 2003 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Q1 2004 Q2 2004 Q3 2004 Q4 2004 Q1 2005 Q2 2005 Q3 2005 Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 1.3100000000000112E-2 1.540000000000008E-2 1.5099999999999891E-2 1.8799999999999928E-2 2.1099999999999897E-2 2.079999999999993E-2 2.0599999999999952E-2 1.089999999999991E-2 2.4000000000000021E-2 2.289999999999992E-2 2.629999999999999E-2 2.6100000000000012E-2 2.3400000000000087E-2 2.8200000000000003E-2 3.3800000000000052E-2 4.6999999999999931E-2 4.1299999999999892E-2 4.1900000000000048E-2 3.4699999999999953E-2 3.5500000000000087E-2 2.5900000000000034E-2 2.6200000000000001E-2 2.8100000000000014E-2 2.8899999999999926E-2 2.4000000000000021E-2 3.0499999999999972E-2 2.9500000000000082E-2 3.3199999999999896E-2 2.3700000000000054E-2 2.4599999999999955E-2 1.6000000000000014E-2 6.7999999999999172E-3 1.5099999999999891E-2 1.6100000000000003E-2 1.7900000000000027E-2 1.6699999999999937E-2 1.8799999999999928E-2 2.0899999999999919E-2 1.9700000000000051E-2 2.7600000000000069E-2 2.5600000000000067E-2 3.1300000000000106E-2 3.4200000000000008E-2 4.6599999999999975E-2 3.5099999999999909E-2 5.3399999999999892E-2 4.4399999999999995E-2 5.4300000000000015E-2 3.620000000000001E-2 4.0100000000000025E-2 3.5099999999999909E-2 4.5099999999999918E-2 3.620000000000001E-2 4.5900000000000052E-2 3.5600000000000076E-2 3.2100000000000017E-2 1.6000000000000014E-2 5.6000000000000494E-3 -1.7000000000000348E-3 -8.2899999999999974E-2 -7.3300000000000032E-2 -5.2000000000000046E-2 -3.3200000000000007E-2 -2.1100000000000008E-2 7.6000000000000512E-3 3.3099999999999907E-2 3.8599999999999968E-2 4.6200000000000019E-2 3.3600000000000074E-2 3.9400000000000102E-2 3.2999999999999918E-2 2.9600000000000071E-2 2.5900000000000034E-2 2.6799999999999935E-2 2.3400000000000087E-2 2.5400000000000089E-2 2.5700000000000056E-2 2.8699999999999948E-2 2.5900000000000034E-2 2.53000000000001E-2 2.7400000000000091E-2 2.9099999999999904E-2 2.629999999999999E-2 3.0399999999999983E-2 3.5700000000000065E-2 3.1400000000000095E-2 3.0899999999999928E-2 2.9099999999999904E-2 2.2100000000000009E-2 2.0299999999999985E-2 1.7700000000000049E-2 1.7300000000000093E-2 GSCI (Total Return) Q1 1994 Q2 1994 Q3 1994 Q4 1994 Q1 1995 Q2 1995 Q3 1995 Q4 1995 Q1 1996 Q2 1996 Q3 1996 Q4 1996 Q1 1997 Q2 1997 Q3 1997 Q4 1997 Q1 1998 Q2 1998 Q3 1998 Q4 1998 Q1 1999 Q2 1999 Q3 1999 Q4 1999 Q1 2000 Q2 2000 Q3 2000 Q4 2000 Q1 2001 Q2 2001 Q3 2001 Q4 2001 Q1 2002 Q2 2002 Q3 2002 Q4 2002 Q1 2003 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Q1 2004 Q2 2004 Q3 2004 Q4 2004 Q1 2005 Q2 2005 Q3 2005 Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 4.5276904012963692E-2 6.7116542039029614E-2 -6.0288839514612835E-2 4.5332605829127015E-3 -3.5848945579309843E-3 3.6841029368341882E-3 5.2293320539860355E-2 0.14342365591397854 0.10590717934443261 9.0091530300917322E-2 1.8231571852924233E-2 9.0956727984776276E-2 -6.7152042200706252E-2 -2.5296140388911925E-2 9.4292642992848341E-2 -0.1363839109274253 -8.5810857193291068E-2 -0.10601932304963779 -4.4373160117752275E-2 -0.17728379973380437 0.1199450563426856 4.7823677444558621E-2 0.16759006372740282 2.8489425533178903E-2 0.12607174703340407 0.18037143782279608 5.0868449285006223E-2 7.2046501289692255E-2 -0.10288777592891629 -5.0366420952775104E-2 -9.8896061080281039E-2 -0.11333630630856983 0.14743478491862505 1.2347165245207847E-4 0.11532063172644524 3.1854219418040008E-2 4.5926796039434059E-2 3.0879408001518005E-2 5.4670633065037055E-3 0.11350873981426979 0.10008442061906964 2.459359539009931E-2 0.16632722710034509 -0.1078936294979409 0.21981569535158041 -4.4852151115814087E-2 0.21492648066622877 -0.11302262957784937 -1.3962001340390828E-2 6.7415524026992246E-2 -0.1552635370160258 -4.500554230786713E-2 5.2047740785170937E-2 1.3382885061126837E-2 0.11468001915403248 0.1163995349168252 9.9241297258868766E-2 0.28650090614872514 -0.28605408835409829 -0.46998801454703676 -0.10641559076055618 0.19242903798645461 -1.762341463964634E-2 8.4156762207131086E-2 -8.9312967671244525E-3 -0.10407946997466666 8.264983396560277E-2 0.13414285252157798 0.11563859764818218 -7.9385007485867298E-2 -0.11689782216579625 8.9552062380247488E-2 5.882662395854954E-2 -0.12384592230229952 0.11535191648240417 -3.2799880509732926E-2 5.4906844087798667E-3 -5.9290841140050676E-2 4.7767195954836916E-2 -3.2642069675627994E-3 2.9416508867959434E-2 2.693938748445901E-2 -0.12461068647865481 -0.27666019431378663 -8.2181750916698215E-2 8.7288654557734713E-2 -0.19295487423425761 -0.16630947195867896 -2.4960207130237277E-2 0.12673428348412141 -4.1537560265379359E-2 5.7622741957501056E-2 Citigroup-MSCI 1.3742200507977698E-2 -2.0801078152372643E-2 -2.3089037934124312E-2 -7.6327178423812869E-3 -8.2188042560116248E-4 -1.9354505418901491E-3 1.7227737073981064E-2 3.9405237307099661E-4 -1.383568692470416E-2 -9.0440025508720101E-4 -2.4047129011307566E-3 6.7597762225644065E-3 1.9502447518314092E-2 2.081504555172109E-2 5.9003295700275071E-3 1.2840563635886149E-2 4.0716863927005909E-2 7.6482712401024777E-3 -3.4326381933407202E-3 1.1187039416954869E-2 8.9972003099465514E-3 1.5573070820519286E-2 1.6217116621581651E-2 1.3911408468211706E-2 6.4683924470192444E-3 -1.9832290250707985E-2 -8.848771967439939E-3 -7.8279039198423384E-3 -2.1247410471847417E-4 1.2448697607665205E-2 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