Chapter 12 Problems Problem #1The Glendale Corp. is considering a real estate development project that will cost $5 million to undertake and is expected to produce annual inflows between $1 million...

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Answer To: Chapter 12 Problems Problem #1The Glendale Corp. is considering a real estate development project...

Sumit answered on Oct 10 2021
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Chapter 12
    Problems
    Problem #1    The Glendale Corp. is considering a real estate development project that will cost $5 million to undertake and is expected to produce annual inflows between $1 million and $4 million for two years. Management feels that if the project turns out r
eally well the inflows between $3 million in the first year and $4 million in the second. If things go very poorly, on the other hand, inflows of $1 million followed by $2.5 million are more likely. Develop a range of NPVs for the project if Glendale's cost of capital is 12%.
    Problem #2     If Glendale's management in the previous problem attaches a probability of .7 to the better outcome, what is the project's most likely (expected) NPV? Comment on the result of your calculations.
    Problem #5    The Blazingame Corporation is considering a three-year project that has an initial cash outlay (C) of $175,000 and three cash inflows that are defined by the following independent probability distributions. All dollar figures are in thousands. Blazingame's cost of capital is 10%
        C1    C2
        $50    $40    $75        0.25
        60    80    80        0.50
        70    120    85        0.25
        a. Estimate the project's most likely NPV using a point estimate of each cash flow. What is its probability?
        b. What are the best and worst possible NPV's? What are their probabilities?
        c. Choose a few outcomes at random, calculate their NPVs and the associated probabilities, and sketch the probability distribution of the project's NPV.
Chapter 12 Solution
    Problem 1:
    Cost of Project    $ 5.00    Million
    Required Rate of Return    12%
    Cash Inflow    Year 1    Year 2        NPV
    Project Turns Well    $ 3.00    $ 4.00    Million    $ 0.87
    Project go Poor    $ 1.00    $ 2.50    Million    $ -2.11
    Hence the range of NPV is $-2.11 to $0.87.
    Problem 2:
    Probablity of better Outcome    0.7
    Probablity of Poor Outcome    0.3
    NPV of Better    $ 0.87
    NPV of Poor    $ -2.11
    Expected NPV    $ -0.03
    Problem 5:
    (a).
    Cost of Project    $ 175,000
    Required Rate of Return    10%
    Cash Inflow    Year 1    Year 2    Year 3    NPV    Expected NPV
    Probability 0.25    $ 50,000.00    $ 40,000.00    $ 75,000.00    $ -40,138.99    $ -10,034.75
    Probability 0.50    $ 60,000.00    $ 80,000.00    $ 80,000.00    $ 5,766.34    $ 2,883.17
    Probability 0.25    $ 70,000.00    $ 120,000.00    $ 85,000.00    $ 51,671.68    $ 12,917.92
    Total Expected Project NPV                    $ 5,766.34
    (b).    Amount    Probability
    Worst Possible NPV    $ -40,138.99    Probability 0.25
    Best Possible NPV    $ 51,671.68    Probability 0.25
    (c).
    Cash Inflow    Expected NPV    Year 1    Year 2    Year 3    NPV
    Probability 0.10    $ -6,797.52    $ 45,000.00    $ 30,000.00    $ 55,000.00    $ -67,975.21
    Probability 0.65    $ 6,458.49    $ 65,000.00    $ 75,000.00    $ 85,000.00    $ 9,936.14
    Probability 0.25    $ 15,463.00    $ 75,000.00    $ 95,000.00    $ 120,000.00    $ ...
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