Answer To: Part 1 - Sanotronics Simulation ModelRead Section 11.1 in the textbook with specific focus on the...
Rochak answered on Oct 19 2022
Auctions
Bid Amount (As Fraction of Estimated Property Value)
Auction Bid 1 Bid 2 Bid 3 Bid 4 Bid 5 Bid 6 Bid 7 Bid 8 Number of Bidders Winning Bid Number of Bidders Frequency
1 0.830 0.797 0.833 0.878 0.839 0.843 6 0.878 1 0
2 0.835 0.823 0.781 0.892 0.767 0.787 6 0.892 2 8
3 0.763 0.862 0.814 0.895 4 0.895 3 8
4 0.771 0.859 0.867 0.850 0.833 5 0.867 4 8
5 0.836 0.898 0.831 0.897 0.831 0.657 0.846 7 0.898 5 8
6 0.850 0.863 0.825 0.910 0.848 5 0.910 6 8
7 0.890 0.820 0.874 0.877 0.818 5 0.890 7 8
8 0.804 0.881 0.786 0.884 0.773 0.819 0.824 7 0.884 8 8
9 0.819 0.851 0.786 0.896 0.784 0.792 6 0.896 9 0
10 0.860 0.756 0.876 0.887 0.866 5 0.887
11 0.880 0.834 0.831 0.871 0.857 0.759 6 0.880
12 0.810 0.870 2 0.870
13 0.887 0.716 0.817 0.900 0.869 0.885 0.856 0.761 8 0.900
14 0.703 0.924 0.93 0.886 0.859 0.721 0.907 7 0.930
15 0.817 0.82 0.815 0.865 0.897 0.932 6 0.932
16 0.926 0.929 2 0.929
17 0.858 0.857 0.937 3 0.937
18 0.782 0.851 0.879 0.885 0.778 0.792 0.776 0.832 8 0.885
19 0.802 0.843 0.87 0.889 4 0.889
20 0.854 0.841 2 0.854
21 0.883 0.815 0.87 0.924 4 0.924
22 0.891 0.809 0.944 0.804 0.819 0.858 0.888 0.835 8 0.944
23 0.872 0.799 0.84 3 0.872
24 0.939 0.867 0.883 0.829 0.931 0.92 0.944 7 0.944
25 0.877 0.887 0.886 3 0.887
26 0.773 0.82 0.945 0.919 4 0.945
27 0.848 0.817 0.909 0.777 4 0.909
28 0.884 0.86 0.794 3 0.884
29 0.859 0.905 0.925 0.866 0.901 0.909 0.921 7 0.925
30 0.808 0.881 0.827 0.908 0.799 0.802 0.891 0.947 8 0.947
31 0.862 0.861 0.893 0.845 4 0.893
32 0.878 0.763 2 0.878
33 0.883 0.902 0.89 0.884 0.942 5 0.942
34 0.911 0.844 2 0.911
35 0.844 0.83 0.853 0.921 0.789 0.864 0.824 7 0.921
36 0.894 0.879 0.792 3 0.894
37 0.832 0.816 0.862 0.883 0.943 0.893 6 0.943
38 0.801 0.917 0.847 0.874 0.719 5 0.917
39 0.898 0.882 2 0.898
40 0.804 0.906 0.74 0.832 0.945 0.809 0.784 7 0.945
41 0.883 0.848 0.837 0.807 0.798 0.842 0.865 7 0.883
42 0.928 0.845 0.753 0.814 0.858 5 0.928
43 0.868 0.785 0.91 3 0.910
44 0.845 0.827 0.82 0.871 0.781 5 0.871
45 0.884 0.855 0.921 0.871 0.943 0.884 0.815 0.727 8 0.943
46 0.883 0.906 2 0.906
47 0.865 0.938 0.764 0.887 0.773 0.859 0.889 0.898 8 0.938
48 0.891 0.771 0.927 0.859 4 0.927
49 0.895 0.845 2 0.895
50 0.915 0.927 0.942 0.887 0.823 0.785 0.853 0.934 8 0.942
51 0.666 0.866 0.916 3 0.916
52 0.770 0.825 0.899 3 0.899
53 0.907 0.741 0.645 0.855 4 0.907
54 0.788 0.876 0.739 0.928 0.821 0.858 6 0.928
55 0.895 0.944 0.914 0.882 0.910 0.868 6 0.944
56 0.816 0.814 0.821 0.880 0.835 0.667 0.861 0.911 8 0.911
Number of Bidders 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 0 Number of Bidders
Frequeny
BidList
Bid Amount Sample Statistics
1 0.830 Minimum 0.645 0.650 1 <0.650
2 0.797 Maximum 0.947 0.675 3 0.65 - 0.675
3 0.833 Mean 0.851 0.700 0 0.675 - 0.7
4 0.878 Standard Deviation 0.056 0.725 4 0.7 - 0.725
5 0.839 0.750 4 0.725 - 0.75
6 0.843 0.775 14 0.75 - 0.775
7 0.835 0.800 23 0.775 - 0.8
8 0.823 0.825 38 0.8 - 0.825
9 0.781 0.850 38 0.825 - 0.85
10 0.892 0.875 48 0.85 - 0.875
11 0.767 0.900 57 0.875 - 0.9
12 0.787 0.925 27 0.9 - 0.925
13 0.763 0.950 23 0.925 - 0.95
14 0.862
15 0.814
16 0.895
17 0.771
18 0.859
19 0.867
20 0.850
21 0.833
22 0.836
23 0.898
24 0.831
25 0.897
26 0.831
27 0.657
28 0.846
29 0.850
30 0.863
31 0.825
32 0.910
33 0.848
34 0.890
35 0.820
36 0.874
37 0.877
38 0.818
39 0.804
40 0.881
41 0.786
42 0.884
43 0.773
44 0.819
45 0.824
46 0.819
47 0.851
48 0.786
49 0.896
50 0.784
51 0.792
52 0.860
53 0.756
54 0.876
55 0.887
56 0.866
57 0.880
58 0.834
59 0.831
60 0.871
61 0.857
62 0.759
63 0.810
64 0.870
65 0.887
66 0.716
67 0.817
68 0.900
69 0.869
70 0.885
71 0.856
72 0.761
73 0.703
74 0.924
75 0.930
76 0.886
77 0.859
78 0.721
79 0.907
80 0.817
81 0.820
82 0.815
83 0.865
84 0.897
85 0.932
86 0.926
87 0.929
88 0.858
89 0.857
90 0.937
91 0.782
92 0.851
93 0.879
94 0.885
95 0.778
96 0.792
97 0.776
98 0.832
99 0.802
100 0.843
101 0.870
102 0.889
103 0.854
104 0.841
105 0.883
106 0.815
107 0.870
108 0.924
109 0.891
110 0.809
111 0.944
112 0.804
113 0.819
114 0.858
115 0.888
116 0.835
117 0.872
118 0.799
119 0.840
120 0.939
121 0.867
122 0.883
123 0.829
124 0.931
125 0.920
126 0.944
127 0.877
128 0.887
129 0.886
130 0.773
131 0.820
132 0.945
133 0.919
134 0.848
135 0.817
136 0.909
137 0.777
138 0.884
139 0.860
140 0.794
141 0.859
142 0.905
143 0.925
144 0.866
145 0.901
146 0.909
147 0.921
148 0.808
149 0.881
150 0.827
151 0.908
152 0.799
153 0.802
154 0.891
155 0.947
156 0.862
157 0.861
158 0.893
159 0.845
160 0.878
161 0.763
162 0.883
163 0.902
164 0.890
165 0.884
166 0.942
167 0.911
168 0.844
169 0.844
170 0.830
171 0.853
172 0.921
173 0.789
174 0.864
175 0.824
176 0.894
177 0.879
178 0.792
179 0.832
180 0.816
181 0.862
182 0.883
183 0.943
184 0.893
185 0.801
186 0.917
187 0.847
188 0.874
189 0.719
190 0.898
191 0.882
192 0.804
193 0.906
194 0.740
195 0.832
196 0.945
197 0.809
198 0.784
199 0.883
200 0.848
201 0.837
202 0.807
203 0.798
204 0.842
205 0.865
206 0.928
207 0.845
208 0.753
209 0.814
210 0.858
211 0.868
212 0.785
213 0.910
214 0.845
215 0.827
216 0.820
217 0.871
218 0.781
219 0.884
220 0.855
221 0.921
222 0.871
223 0.943
224 0.884
225 0.815
226 0.727
227 0.883
228 0.906
229 0.865
230 0.938
231 0.764
232 0.887
233 0.773
234 0.859
235 0.889
236 0.898
237 0.891
238 0.771
239 0.927
240 0.859
241 0.895
242 0.845
243 0.915
244 0.927
245 0.942
246 0.887
247 0.823
248 0.785
249 0.853
250 0.934
251 0.666
252 0.866
253 0.916
254 0.770
255 0.825
256 0.899
257 0.907
258 0.741
259 0.645
260 0.855
261 0.788
262 0.876
263 0.739
264 0.928
265 0.821
266 0.858
267 0.895
268 0.944
269 0.914
270 0.882
271 0.910
272 0.868
273 0.816
274 0.814
275 0.821
276 0.880
277 0.835
278 0.667
279 0.861
280 0.911
< 0.650 0.65 - 0.675 0.675 - 0.7 0.7 - 0.725 0.725 - 0.75 0.75 - 0.775 0.775 - 0.8 0.8 - 0.825 0.825 - 0.85 0.85 - 0.875 0.875 - 0.9 0.9 - 0.925 0.925 - 0.95 1 3 0 4 4 14 23 38 38 48 57 27 23 Bid Amount (Fraction of Property Value)
Frequency
Model
Land Shark
Parameters
Estimated Value $1,389,000
Number of Bidders 3
Bid Index Bid Fraction Bid Amount
1 0.767 $1,065,363
2 0.866 $1,202,874
3 0.887 $1,232,043
4 0.887 $0
5 0.667 $0
6 0.831 $0
7 0.917 $0
8 0.907 $0
Model
Land Shark Bid Amount $1,230,000
Largest Competitor Bid $1,232,043
Land Shark Win Auction? 0
Land Shark Return $0
Simulation Trial Number of Bidders Bid 1 Bid 2 Bid 3 Bid 4 Bid 5 Bid 6 Bid 7 Bid 8 Win? Return Summary Statistics
1 3 $1,065,363 $1,202,874 $1,232,043 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 $0 Count 1000 Bin Frequency
2 3 $1,145,925 $1,070,919 $1,109,811 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 1 $159,000 Minimum Return $0 $0 632
3 3 $1,209,819 $1,291,770 $1,122,312 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 $0 Maximum Return $159,000 $10,000 0
4 3 $1,158,426 $1,248,711 $926,463 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 $0 Mean Return $58,512 $20,000 0
5 3 $1,148,703 $1,173,705 $1,112,589 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 1 $159,000 Standard Deviation of Return $76,718 $30,000 0
6 3 $1,080,642 $1,232,043 $1,193,151 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 $0 $40,000 0
7 3 $1,197,318 $1,191,762 $1,137,591 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 1 $159,000 P(Win Auction) 0.368 $50,000 0
8 3 $1,245,933 $1,173,705 $1,138,980 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 $0 Standard Error of Proportion 0.015 $60,000 0
9 3 $1,145,925 $1,226,487 $1,222,320 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 1 $159,000 $70,000 0
10 3 $1,194,540 $1,186,206 $1,291,770 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 $0 95% C.I. on Mean Return $53,751 $80,000 0
11 3 $998,691 $1,176,483 $1,120,923 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 1 $159,000 $63,273 $90,000 0
12 3 $1,193,151 $1,243,155 $1,311,216 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 $0 $100,000 0
13 3 $1,226,487 $1,069,530 $1,223,709 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 1 $159,000 95% C.I. on P(Win...