or a person planning to hold a party outside, an example of the predictable-world bias would be hoping the weather will be nice this year hoping the weather will be nice this year A believing that...

or a person planning to hold a party outside, an example of the predictable-world bias would be

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  hoping the weather will be nice this year

  
  

  
  

  hoping the weather will be nice this year

  
  
  
  
  A
  
  


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  believing that nice weather is due this year because it rained a lot the last three years

  
  

  
  

  believing that nice weather is due this year because it rained a lot the last three years

  
  
  
  
  B
  
  


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  believing the party will be fun outside regardless of the weather

  
  

  
  

  believing the party will be fun outside regardless of the weather

  
  
  
  
  C
  
  


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  remembering only past parties with good weather, not those with bad weather

  
  

  
  

  remembering only past parties with good weather, not those with bad weather

  
  
  
  
  D
  
  


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  believing the weather can be controlled if one wishes hard enough