Moran Storage Model. A reservoir with capacity c receives inputs V 1 , V 2 ,... in discrete time periods, where V n are i.i.d. nonnegative integervalued random variables. In a period when the...

Moran Storage Model. A reservoir with capacity c receives inputs V1, V2,... in discrete time periods, where Vn
are i.i.d. nonnegative integervalued random variables. In a period when the reservoir has room for y additional units (the reservoir level is c − y), and v units of input occur, then (v − y)+ units of the input are discarded. In addition, the reservoir releases a non-random quantity of u units of water in each time period provided the reservoir level exceeds u, otherwise it releases all the water in the dam. Let
Xn
denote the amount of water in the reservoir at (the end of) time period n. Justify that
Xn
is a reflected random walk Markov chain and express its transition probabilities as a function of the distribution qn
= P{V1
= n}.

May 07, 2022
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