Modified version of Let's Make a Deal: Suppose you believe that there is a 0.1 probability that the car is behind door 1, a 0.3 probability that it is behind door 2, and a 0.6 probability that it is...


Modified version of Let's Make a Deal: Suppose you believe that there is a 0.1 probability that the car is behind door 1, a 0.3 probability that it is behind door 2, and a 0.6 probability that it is behind door 3. Which door should you choose initially? Should you switch when the host shows you a goat?


For each of the following, provide an example:


A. A distinction that does not pass the clarity test.


B. A distinction that is clear, but not observable.


C. A distinction that is clear, observable, but not useful for the decision.



May 04, 2022
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