Let’s revisit the example of the risk manager at a bank who has just approved a loan. The loan can end in one of three states: default, late, or repaid on time. We’re given that and.
a. Which rules tell you how to find(repaid on time)?8
b. Is(default late) = 0.17, or is it smaller?9
c. What rule tells you how to determine the probability a loan does not default?10
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