#1 Student:________________________________________________________ 10/2/20 Exam:Mid-Term Problem:1 1.You have an opportunity to buy some producing wells. The property produces 20 BOPD. Your...

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#1 Student:________________________________________________________10/2/20 Exam:Mid-Term Problem:1 1.You have an opportunity to buy some producing wells. The property produces 20 BOPD. Your analysis shows that it will produce flat like this for 5 years before it waters out. You expect oil to be $40/BBL forever. Once it waters out it will cost $30K to plug and abandon the well. The well costs $3500/mo to operate. You contact a bunch of investment bankers, do some market research, determine that the appropriate risk rate is 15%. What is the value of the deal? BOPD20 Expected Life (years) 5 Expected price/BBL$40 Abandonment Cost$30,000 Monthly operating costs$3,500 PV (discount rate)15 #2 Student:____________________________________________________10/2/20 Exam:Mid-Term Problem:2 To drill or not to drill. Calculate the NPV and breakeven gas price and make a determination whether or not to drill the gas well based on the expected cash flows listed. Initial Production, mcf/d20,150.0 Days in Month30.0NPV Well Cost$4,500,000Breakeven Gas Price Gas Price ($/mcf)$2.49 OpEx ($/mcf)$1.50 Tax Rate21% Discount Rate15% Prod.EffectiveProd.GasOpExPretaxCash DateMonthmcf/dDeclinemcf/moPriceRevenues$/mcfExpensesProfitTaxesFlows 12/31/200.00.0 1/31/211.0(30.0%) 2/28/212.0(21.5%) 3/31/213.0(16.7%) 4/30/214.0(13.7%) 5/31/215.0(11.6%) 6/30/216.0(10.0%) 7/31/217.0(8.8%) 8/31/218.0(7.9%) 9/30/219.0(7.2%) 10/31/2110.0(6.5%) 11/30/2111.0(6.0%) 12/31/2112.0(5.6%) 1/31/2213.0(5.2%) 2/28/2214.0(4.9%) 3/31/2215.0(4.6%) 4/30/2216.0(4.3%) 5/31/2217.0(4.1%) 6/30/2218.0(3.9%) 7/31/2219.0(3.7%) 8/31/2220.0(3.5%) 9/30/2221.0(3.3%) 10/31/2222.0(3.2%) 11/30/2223.0(3.1%) 12/31/2224.0(2.9%) 1/31/2325.0(2.8%) 2/28/2326.0(2.7%) 3/31/2327.0(2.6%) 4/30/2328.0(2.5%) 5/31/2329.0(2.5%) 6/30/2330.0(2.4%) 7/31/2331.0(2.3%) 8/31/2332.0(2.2%) 9/30/2333.0(2.2%) 10/31/2334.0(2.1%) 11/30/2335.0(2.1%) 12/31/2336.0(2.0%) 1/31/2437.0(2.0%) 2/29/2438.0(1.9%) 3/31/2439.0(1.9%) 4/30/2440.0(1.8%) 5/31/2441.0(1.8%) 6/30/2442.0(1.7%) 7/31/2443.0(1.7%) 8/31/2444.0(1.7%) 9/30/2445.0(1.6%) 10/31/2446.0(1.6%) 11/30/2447.0(1.6%) 12/31/2448.0(1.5%) 1/31/2549.0(1.5%) 2/28/2550.0(1.5%) 3/31/2551.0(1.4%) 4/30/2552.0(1.4%) 5/31/2553.0(1.4%) 6/30/2554.0(1.4%) 7/31/2555.0(1.3%) 8/31/2556.0(1.3%) 9/30/2557.0(1.3%) 10/31/2558.0(1.3%) 11/30/2559.0(1.2%) 12/31/2560.0(1.2%) 1/31/2661.0(1.2%) 2/28/2662.0(1.2%) 3/31/2663.0(1.2%) 4/30/2664.0(1.1%) 5/31/2665.0(1.1%) 6/30/2666.0(1.1%) 7/31/2667.0(1.1%) 8/31/2668.0(1.1%) 9/30/2669.0(1.1%) 10/31/2670.0(1.1%) 11/30/2671.0(1.0%) 12/31/2672.0(1.0%) 1/31/2773.0(1.0%) 2/28/2774.0(1.0%) 3/31/2775.0(1.0%) 4/30/2776.0(1.0%) 5/31/2777.0(1.0%) 6/30/2778.0(0.9%) 7/31/2779.0(0.9%) 8/31/2780.0(0.9%) 9/30/2781.0(0.9%) 10/31/2782.0(0.9%) 11/30/2783.0(0.9%) 12/31/2784.0(0.9%) 1/31/2885.0(0.9%) 2/29/2886.0(0.9%) 3/31/2887.0(0.8%) 4/30/2888.0(0.8%) 5/31/2889.0(0.8%) 6/30/2890.0(0.8%) 7/31/2891.0(0.8%) 8/31/2892.0(0.8%) 9/30/2893.0(0.8%) 10/31/2894.0(0.8%) 11/30/2895.0(0.8%) 12/31/2896.0(0.8%) 1/31/2997.0(0.8%) 2/28/2998.0(0.8%) 3/31/2999.0(0.7%) 4/30/29100.0(0.7%) 5/31/29101.0(0.7%) 6/30/29102.0(0.7%) 7/31/29103.0(0.7%) 8/31/29104.0(0.7%) 9/30/29105.0(0.7%) 10/31/29106.0(0.7%) 11/30/29107.0(0.7%) 12/31/29108.0(0.7%) 1/31/30109.0(0.7%) 2/28/30110.0(0.7%) 3/31/30111.0(0.7%) 4/30/30112.0(0.7%) 5/31/30113.0(0.7%) 6/30/30114.0(0.7%) 7/31/30115.0(0.6%) 8/31/30116.0(0.6%) 9/30/30117.0(0.6%) 10/31/30118.0(0.6%) 11/30/30119.0(0.6%) 12/31/30120.0(0.6%) 1/31/31121.0(0.6%) 2/28/31122.0(0.6%) 3/31/31123.0(0.6%) 4/30/31124.0(0.6%) 5/31/31125.0(0.6%) 6/30/31126.0(0.6%) 7/31/31127.0(0.6%) 8/31/31128.0(0.6%) 9/30/31129.0(0.6%) 10/31/31130.0(0.6%) 11/30/31131.0(0.6%) 12/31/31132.0(0.6%) 1/31/32133.0(0.6%) 2/29/32134.0(0.6%) 3/31/32135.0(0.6%) 4/30/32136.0(0.5%) 5/31/32137.0(0.5%) 6/30/32138.0(0.5%) 7/31/32139.0(0.5%) 8/31/32140.0(0.5%) 9/30/32141.0(0.5%) 10/31/32142.0(0.5%) 11/30/32143.0(0.5%) 12/31/32144.0(0.5%) 1/31/33145.0(0.5%) 2/28/33146.0(0.5%) 3/31/33147.0(0.5%) 4/30/33148.0(0.5%) 5/31/33149.0(0.5%) 6/30/33150.0(0.5%) 7/31/33151.0(0.5%) 8/31/33152.0(0.5%) 9/30/33153.0(0.5%) 10/31/33154.0(0.5%) 11/30/33155.0(0.5%) 12/31/33156.0(0.5%) 1/31/34157.0(0.5%) 2/28/34158.0(0.5%) 3/31/34159.0(0.5%) 4/30/34160.0(0.5%) 5/31/34161.0(0.5%) 6/30/34162.0(0.5%) 7/31/34163.0(0.5%) 8/31/34164.0(0.5%) 9/30/34165.0(0.5%) 10/31/34166.0(0.4%) 11/30/34167.0(0.4%) 12/31/34168.0(0.4%) 1/31/35169.0(0.4%) 2/28/35170.0(0.4%) 3/31/35171.0(0.4%) 4/30/35172.0(0.4%) 5/31/35173.0(0.4%) 6/30/35174.0(0.4%) 7/31/35175.0(0.4%) 8/31/35176.0(0.4%) 9/30/35177.0(0.4%) 10/31/35178.0(0.4%) 11/30/35179.0(0.4%) 12/31/35180.0(0.4%) 1/31/36181.0(0.4%) 2/29/36182.0(0.4%) 3/31/36183.0(0.4%) 4/30/36184.0(0.4%) 5/31/36185.0(0.4%) 6/30/36186.0(0.4%) 7/31/36187.0(0.4%) 8/31/36188.0(0.4%) 9/30/36189.0(0.4%) 10/31/36190.0(0.4%) 11/30/36191.0(0.4%) 12/31/36192.0(0.4%) 1/31/37193.0(0.4%) 2/28/37194.0(0.4%) 3/31/37195.0(0.4%) 4/30/37196.0(0.4%) 5/31/37197.0(0.4%) 6/30/37198.0(0.4%) 7/31/37199.0(0.4%) 8/31/37200.0(0.4%) 9/30/37201.0(0.4%) 10/31/37202.0(0.4%) 11/30/37203.0(0.4%) 12/31/37204.0(0.4%) 1/31/38205.0(0.4%) 2/28/38206.0(0.4%) 3/31/38207.0(0.4%) 4/30/38208.0(0.4%) 5/31/38209.0(0.4%) 6/30/38210.0(0.4%) 7/31/38211.0(0.4%) 8/31/38212.0(0.4%) 9/30/38213.0(0.4%) 10/31/38214.0(0.3%) 11/30/38215.0(0.3%) 12/31/38216.0(0.3%) 1/31/39217.0(0.3%) 2/28/39218.0(0.3%) 3/31/39219.0(0.3%) 4/30/39220.0(0.3%) 5/31/39221.0(0.3%) 6/30/39222.0(0.3%) 7/31/39223.0(0.3%) 8/31/39224.0(0.3%) 9/30/39225.0(0.3%) 10/31/39226.0(0.3%) 11/30/39227.0(0.3%) 12/31/39228.0(0.3%) 1/31/40229.0(0.3%) 2/29/40230.0(0.3%) 3/31/40231.0(0.3%) 4/30/40232.0(0.3%) 5/31/40233.0(0.3%) 6/30/40234.0(0.3%) 7/31/40235.0(0.3%) 8/31/40236.0(0.3%) 9/30/40237.0(0.3%) 10/31/40238.0(0.3%) 11/30/40239.0(0.3%) 12/31/40240.0(0.3%) 1/31/41241.0(0.3%) 2/28/41242.0(0.3%) 3/31/41243.0(0.3%) 4/30/41244.0(0.3%) 5/31/41245.0(0.3%) 6/30/41246.0(0.3%) 7/31/41247.0(0.3%) 8/31/41248.0(0.3%) 9/30/41249.0(0.3%) 10/31/41250.0(0.3%) 11/30/41251.0(0.3%) 12/31/41252.0(0.3%) 1/31/42253.0(0.3%) 2/28/42254.0(0.3%) 3/31/42255.0(0.3%) 4/30/42256.0(0.3%) 5/31/42257.0(0.3%) 6/30/42258.0(0.3%) 7/31/42259.0(0.3%) 8/31/42260.0(0.3%) 9/30/42261.0(0.3%) 10/31/42262.0(0.3%) 11/30/42263.0(0.3%) 12/31/42264.0(0.3%) 1/31/43265.0(0.3%) 2/28/43266.0(0.3%) 3/31/43267.0(0.3%) 4/30/43268.0(0.3%) 5/31/43269.0(0.3%) 6/30/43270.0(0.3%) 7/31/43271.0(0.3%) 8/31/43272.0(0.3%) 9/30/43273.0(0.3%) 10/31/43274.0(0.3%) 11/30/43275.0(0.3%) 12/31/43276.0(0.3%) 1/31/44277.0(0.3%) 2/29/44278.0(0.3%) 3/31/44279.0(0.3%) 4/30/44280.0(0.3%) 5/31/44281.0(0.3%) 6/30/44282.0(0.3%) 7/31/44283.0(0.3%) 8/31/44284.0(0.3%) 9/30/44285.0(0.3%) 10/31/44286.0(0.3%) 11/30/44287.0(0.3%) 12/31/44288.0(0.3%) 1/31/45289.0(0.3%) 2/28/45290.0(0.3%) 3/31/45291.0(0.3%) 4/30/45292.0(0.3%) 5/31/45293.0(0.3%) 6/30/45294.0(0.3%) 7/31/45295.0(0.3%) 8/31/45296.0(0.3%) 9/30/45297.0(0.3%) 10/31/45298.0(0.3%) 11/30/45299.0(0.3%) 12/31/45300.0(0.2%) #3 Student:____________________________________________________10/2/20 Exam:Mid-Term Problem:2 Student:____________________________________________________10/2/20 Exam:Mid-Term Problem:3 2020 year production, mm bbl robert.forrester: robert.forrester: Hint: use Goal Seek. Then, set cell B31 to 86 by changing cell A12. I have taken the liberty of entering the formulas into B21:31.< the answer we are seeking decline rate 15.00% target total production, mm bbl 86.00 production 2020- 0 2021- 0 2022- 0 2023- 0 2024- 0 2025- 0 2026- 0 2027- 0 2028- 0 2029- 0 total- 0 problem: assume that an oil field will produce for 10 years. production will decline 15% each year. what must first year production be, if total production at the end of 10 years is to equal 86 mm bbl? #4 student:____________________________________________________10/2/20 exam:mid-term problem:4 4. (show your work. determine how much the following would need to be to break even: selling price: number of barrels sold: lifting cost per barrel: fixed costs: initial projections selling price/bbl$39.80 barrels sold10000 revenue$398,000 lifting cost per unit$22 variable costs$220,000 fixed costs$200,000 profit($22,000) the="" answer="" we="" are="" seeking="" decline="" rate="" 15.00%="" target="" total="" production,="" mm="" bbl="" 86.00="" production="" 2020="" -="" 0="" 2021="" -="" 0="" 2022="" -="" 0="" 2023="" -="" 0="" 2024="" -="" 0="" 2025="" -="" 0="" 2026="" -="" 0="" 2027="" -="" 0="" 2028="" -="" 0="" 2029="" -="" 0="" total="" -="" 0="" problem:="" assume="" that="" an="" oil="" field="" will="" produce="" for="" 10="" years.="" production="" will="" decline="" 15%="" each="" year.="" what="" must="" first="" year="" production="" be,="" if="" total="" production="" at="" the="" end="" of="" 10="" years="" is="" to="" equal="" 86="" mm="" bbl?="" #4="" student:="" ____________________________________________________="" 10/2/20="" exam:="" mid-term="" problem:="" 4="" 4.="" (show="" your="" work.="" determine="" how="" much="" the="" following="" would="" need="" to="" be="" to="" break="" even:="" selling="" price:="" number="" of="" barrels="" sold:="" lifting="" cost="" per="" barrel:="" fixed="" costs:="" initial="" projections="" selling="" price/bbl="" $39.80="" barrels="" sold="" 10000="" revenue="" $398,000="" lifting="" cost="" per="" unit="" $22="" variable="" costs="" $220,000="" fixed="" costs="" $200,000="" profit="">
Oct 15, 2021
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