INV2 P1 3
You are considering an investment in a portfolio P with the following expected returns in three different states of nature:
Recession
Steady
Expansion
Probability
0.10
0.55
0.35
Return on P
-15%
20%
40%
The risk-free rate is currently 4%, and the market portfolio M has an expected return of 16% and standard deviation of 20%, and its correlation with P is .7.
Does portfolio P have a positive or negative alpha relative to its required return given its level of risk?
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