In training for the Olympic decathlon, you are trying to choose your takeoff point for the long jump to maximize your expected official jump. Unfortunately, when you aim at a certain spot, you have a...




In training for the Olympic decathlon, you are trying to choose your takeoff point for the long jump to maximize your expected official jump. Unfortunately, when you aim at a certain spot, you have a 50/50 chance of actually taking off 10 cm beyond that point. If that violates the official takeoff line, you foul and lose that jump opportunity. Assume that you have three chances and that your longest jump counts as your official finish. You then want to determine your aiming strategy for each jump. Assume that your actual takeoff is independent from jump to jump. Initially you are equally likely to hit a 7.4- or 7.6-meter jump from your actual takeoff point. If you hit a long first jump, then you have a 2/3 chance of another 7.6-meter jump and 1/3 chance of jumping 7.4 meters. The probabilities are reversed if you jumped 7.4 meters the first time. You always seem to hit the third jump the same as the second. First, find a strategy to maximize the expected official jump. Then, maximize decathlon points from the following Table 8.




May 09, 2022
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