In the following profit payoff table for a decis problem with two states of nature and three alternatives, the prior probabilities for s1 and P(81) = .8 and P(82) = .2. Excel File: data20-15.xls State...


In the following profit payoff table for a decis<br>problem with two states of nature and three<br>alternatives, the prior probabilities for s1 and<br>P(81) = .8 and P(82) = .2.<br>Excel File: data20-15.xls<br>State of Nature<br>Decision Alternative<br>$2<br>d,<br>dz<br>dz<br>15<br>10<br>12<br>20<br>10<br>a. What is the optimal decision?<br>- Select your answer -<br>b. Find the EVPI.<br>c. Suppose that sample information I is obta<br>with P(I|81) = .20 and P(I|82) = .75.<br>Find the posterior probabilities P(81|1) and P(s;<br>decimals).<br>P(81|I) =<br>P(82\I) =<br>

Extracted text: In the following profit payoff table for a decis problem with two states of nature and three alternatives, the prior probabilities for s1 and P(81) = .8 and P(82) = .2. Excel File: data20-15.xls State of Nature Decision Alternative $2 d, dz dz 15 10 12 20 10 a. What is the optimal decision? - Select your answer - b. Find the EVPI. c. Suppose that sample information I is obta with P(I|81) = .20 and P(I|82) = .75. Find the posterior probabilities P(81|1) and P(s; decimals). P(81|I) = P(82\I) =

Jun 01, 2022
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