In Problem 12, suppose that the demand for cars is normally distributed with mean 100 and standard deviation 15. Use @RISK to determine the best order quantity, that is, the one with the largest mean profit. Using the statistics and/or graphs from @RISK, discuss whether this order quantity would be considered best by the car dealer. (The point is that a decision maker can use more than just mean profit in making a decision.)
Problem 12
In August 2007, a car dealer is trying to determine how many 2008 cars to order. Each car ordered in August 2007 costs $10,000. The demand for the dealer’s 2008 models has the probability distribution shown in the file P11_12.xlsx. Each car sells for $15,000. If demand for 2008 cars exceeds the number of cars ordered in August, the dealer must reorder at a cost of $12,000 per car. Excess cars can be sold at $9000 per car. Use simulation to determine how many cars to order in August. For your optimal order quantity, find a 95% confidence interval for the expected profit
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