In most of Europe and Asia annual automobile insurance is determined by the bonus malus system. Each policyholder is given a number (state) and the policy premium is determined as a function of this...


In most of Europe and Asia annual automobile insurance is determined by the bonus malus system.<br>Each policyholder is given a number (state) and the policy premium is determined as a function of this state.<br>A policy holder's state changes from year to year in response to the number of claims made by the policy holder.<br>Suppose the number of daims made by a particular policyholder in any given year, is a Poisson random variable with parameter A.<br>Let. s;(k) be the next state of a policyholder who was in state i in the previous year and who made k claims in that year.<br>The following table is a simplified Bonus-Malus system having 4 states.<br>Next state if<br>Annual<br>State<br>Premium<br>O claims<br>1 claim |2 claims 3 or more claims<br>1<br>200<br>1<br>2<br>4<br>2<br>250<br>1<br>3<br>4<br>4<br>3<br>400<br>2<br>4<br>4<br>4<br>4<br>600<br>3<br>4<br>4<br>4<br>For A =2<br>A. Find the mean time to retum to state 1 (if you start in state 1):<br>drestime<br>(round to 2 decimals)<br>B. Find the expected annual premium for a random person after it has been with the insurance company for a while:<br>decimals)<br>(round to 2<br>

Extracted text: In most of Europe and Asia annual automobile insurance is determined by the bonus malus system. Each policyholder is given a number (state) and the policy premium is determined as a function of this state. A policy holder's state changes from year to year in response to the number of claims made by the policy holder. Suppose the number of daims made by a particular policyholder in any given year, is a Poisson random variable with parameter A. Let. s;(k) be the next state of a policyholder who was in state i in the previous year and who made k claims in that year. The following table is a simplified Bonus-Malus system having 4 states. Next state if Annual State Premium O claims 1 claim |2 claims 3 or more claims 1 200 1 2 4 2 250 1 3 4 4 3 400 2 4 4 4 4 600 3 4 4 4 For A =2 A. Find the mean time to retum to state 1 (if you start in state 1): drestime (round to 2 decimals) B. Find the expected annual premium for a random person after it has been with the insurance company for a while: decimals) (round to 2

Jun 04, 2022
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