In baseball, a team’s success is often thought to be a function of the team’s hitting and pitching performance. One measure of hitting performance is the number of home runs the team hits, and one...


In baseball, a team’s success is often thought to be a function of the team’s hitting and pitching performance. One measure of hitting performance is the number of home runs the team hits, and one measure of pitching performance is the earned run average for the team’s pitching staff. It is generally believed that teams that hit more home runs and have a lower earned run average will win a higher percentage of the games played. The following data show the proportion of games won, the number of team home runs (HR), and the earned run average (ERA) for the 16 teams in the National League for the 2003 Major League Baseball season












































































































Proportion









Proportion







Team



Won



HR



ERA



Team



Won



HR



ERA



Arizona



0.519



152



3.857



Milwaukee



0.420



196



5.058



Atlanta



0.623



235



4.106



Montreal



0.512



144



4.027



Chicago



0.543



172



3.842



New York



0.410



124



4.517



Cincinnati



0.426



182



5.127



Philadelphia



0.531



166



4.072



Colorado



0.457



198



5.269



Pittsburgh



0.463



163



4.664



Florida



0.562



157



4.059



San Diego



0.395



128



4.904



Houston



0.537



191



3.880



San Francisco



0.621



180



3.734



Los Angeles



0.525



124



3.162



St. Louis



0.525



196



4.642



a. Determine the estimated regression equation that could be used to predict the proportion of games won given the number of team home runs.


b. Determine the estimated regression equation that could be used to predict the proportion of games won given the earned run average for the team’s pitching staff.


c. Determine the estimated regression equation that could be used to predict the proportion of games won given the number of team home runs and the earned run average for the team’s pitching staff.


d. For the 2003 season San Diego won only 39.5% of the games they played, the lowest in the National League. To improve next year’s record, the team is trying to acquire new players who will increase the number of team home runs to 180 and decrease the earned run average for the team’s pitching staff to 4.0. Use the estimated regression equation developed in part (c) to estimate the percentage of games San Diego will win if they have 180 team home runs and have an earned run average of 4.0.


May 25, 2022
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