In a crossover trial comparing a new drug to a standard, πdenotes the probability that the new one is judged better. It is desired to estimate πand testH0: πs0.5 againstHa: π≠0.5. In 20 independent observations, the new drug is better each time.
a. Find and sketch the likelihood function. Give the ML estimate of π.
b. Conduct a Wald test and construct a 95% Wald confidence interval for π. Are these sensible?
c. Conduct a score test, reporting theP-value. Construct a 95% score confidence interval. Interpret.
d. Conduct a likelihood-ratio test and construct a likelihood-based 95% confidence interval. Interpret.
e. Construct an exact binomial test and 95% confidence interval. Interpret.
f. Suppose that researchers wanted a sufficiently large sample to estimate the probability of preferring the new drug to within 0.05, with confidence 0.95. If the true probability is 0.90, about how large a sample is needed?
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