Section A 20 marks Answer all questions in this section. Topics: - Estimation of the mean and proportion and Hypothesis Testing Question 1 (10 marks) a) You, the district sales manager for a fast-food...

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Answered Same DayApr 18, 2022

Answer To: Section A 20 marks Answer all questions in this section. Topics: - Estimation of the mean and...

Bolla V V Satyanarayana answered on Apr 19 2022
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Section A                                        20 marks
Answer all questions in this section.
Topics: - Estimation of the mean and proportion and Hypothesis Testing
         

Question 1                                        (10 marks)
    
a) You, the district sales manager for a fast-food company prefer to compare sales performance in terms of standardized values. You recently hired a new analyst, and you decided to demonstrate to her how to standardize the value x = 15 given  = 9 and  = 5. Show the working you demonstrated to the new analyst. (2 marks)
Solution:


b) Based on your knowledge on the z statistic and the t statistic, a confidence interval inappropriately us
ing a z-statistic instead of the statistic will give a wider, or narrower interval? Why? (2 marks)
Answer: ZStatistic would give narrower confidence interval than T statistics. Because the critical value of Z test is lower than critical value of t test.

c) The manager of John’s supermarket received complaints from Cashiers at the supermarket that many customers who used the express checkout lane have more than the stipulated number of items for the lane. The express check-out lanes are limited to customers purchasing 10 or fewer items. A recently taken random sample of 25 customers entering express lanes at this supermarket found that 14 of them had more than 10 items.
i. (i) Construct a 95% confidence interval for the percentage of all customers at this supermarket who enter express lanes with more than 10 items (4 marks)
ii. Give a complete interpretation for the 99% confidence interval from part (i) (2 marks)

Question 2                                        (10 marks)

a) Define what is a null and alternative hypothesis? (2 marks)
A test of statistical hypothesis is a two action decision problem after the experimental sample values have been obtained the two actions being acceptance (or) rejection of hypothesis under consideration.
Testing of hypothesis are two types:
·
Null hypothesis ()
·
Alternative hypothesis ()\
Null hypothesis ()
    It is usually a hypothesis of no difference is called null hypothesis. It is usually denoted by “”. It should be completely impartial and should have no brief for any party or company nor should be allow his personal views to utilize the decision.
Example: Let us consider the light bulbs problem. Suppose that the bulbs manufactured under some standard manufacturing process have an average life of “ hours and is proposed to test a new procedure “” for manufacturing light bulbs. Thus, we have two populations of bulbs those manufacture by standard process and those manufacture by new process.
In this problem the following three hypotheses may be set up
1. Standard process is greater than new process.
2. Standard process is less than to new process
3. There is no difference between standard process and new process.
Null hypothesis (): There is no difference between new process and standard process.
Alternative hypothesis ():
    Any hypothesis which is complimentary to the null hypothesis is called alternative hypothesis, which is denoted by.
Example: Above light bulbs alternative hypothesis () is: New process is better than standard process (or) new process is inferior to standard process.

b) Your manager is interested in knowing whether nor not spending more money on digital advertising will lead to increased sales. Assist your manager by identifying a null and alternative statement based on this scenario. (2 marks)
Answer:
c) What does the level of significance tell you? (1 marks)
Having formulated the hypothesis, the next step is its validity at certain level of significance. The confidence with which a null hypothesis is accepted or rejected depends upon the significance level. A significance level of say 5% means that the risk of making a wrong decision is 5%. The researcher is likely to be wrong in accepting false hypothesis or rejecting a true hypothesis by 5 out of 100 occasions. Therefore, a 1% significance level provides greater confidence to the decision than 5% significance level.
d) How does one commit a type 1 error? (1 marks)
Type – I Error (): Reject Null hypothesis () when it is true. Probability of Type –I error is
Probability of type –I error
Type –II Error (): Accept Null hypothesis () when it is wrong.
Probability of type –II error
    
     Decision
    
    Accept H0
    Reject H1
    H0 true
    Correct decision
    Type-I error
    H0 is false
    Type-II error
    Correct decision
e) Briefly explain the difference between a two-tailed and a one-tailed test
(2 marks)
One-tailed and two tailed tests:
A hypothesis test may be one-tailed or two-tailed. In one tailed test the test-statistic for rejection of null hypothesis falls only in one-tailed of sampling distribution curve.
Whether the test is one-sided or two sided-depends on alternate hypothesis.
As two tailed test is one in which the test statistics leading to reading to rejection of null hypothesis falls on both tails of the sampling ∞distribution curve shown


Two tailed tests
When we should apply a hypothesis test that is one-tailed or two-tailed depends on the nature of the problem. One-tailed test is used when the research’s interest is primarily on one side of the issue
Example: “Is the current advertisement less effective than the proposed new advertisement”?
A two tailed test is appropriate, when the researcher has no reason to focus on one side of the issue. Example “Are the two markets- Mumbai and Delhi different to test market a product?”
f) Draw a two-tailed normal distribution curve with a significance level of 5%. On your graph identify the critical values, shade the rejection regions, and show alpha. (2 marks)
Section B                                        40 marks

In this section, you are required to answer two (2) questions only. Section B(i) - Answer either question one (1), or question two (2)
Section B(ii) - Answer either question three (3) or question four (4)
Topics: - Estimation & Hypothesis Testing: Two Populations; Chi-Square Tests;
Analysis of Variance and Simple Linear Regression
         
Section B(i)                                             
Question 1                                        (20 marks)
                                       
Quack Fast Food Company Limited hired two chemists, Mr. Morris and Mr. Logan to produce their signature sauce. Mr. Smith, their boss, is not pleased with Mr. Logan’s attitude to work, so he is contemplating firing Mr. Logan and keeping Mr. Morris only to perform this job. The problem, however, is that...
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