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Bidusha answered on Jan 26 2024
Camden Council LGA 2
CAMDEN COUNCIL LGA
Table of Content
Executive Summary 4
Background 6
Existing and future network 8
Overview 8
Council objectives 9
Challenges and opportunities 10
Challenges 10
Opportunities: 11
Strategy and policy review 12
Metropolitan planning context 13
Relevance to Camden LGA’s centres 14
Western City District Plan (2018) 15
Relevance to Camden LGA’s centres 15
Western Sydney Aerotropolis and City Deal 17
Western Sydney Airport 17
Western Sydney City Deal 18
Western Sydney Aerotropolis LUIIP 18
Future Transport Infrastructure 19
Future Transport 2056 19
Western Sydney Infrastructure Plan (WSIP) 20
North South Rail Link and South West Rail Link 20
Outer Sydney Orbital 21
State planning context summary 21
Local planning context 22
Camden Community Strategic Plan 22
Camden Economic Development Strategy (2013) 22
Camden Town Centre Vision 23
Growth Area Development Contribution Plans 24
Commercial office market trends 26
The increasing importance of the ‘knowledge-based’ service sector 26
Future office employment across Camden LGA 27
Population-serving office employment 28
Office employment by category 29
Demand for floorspace 30
Key Issues & Synthesis 31
Overview 31
Summary of key issues 31
Development of growth scenarios 33
Timing considerations 34
New and emerging centres 35
Conclusions 35
Executive Summary
This report is separated into four distinct sections. These are summarised below:
A strategy and policy review that is based on agency engagement and comprises an evaluation of all pertinent policy and strategy materials. A summary of trends and drivers evaluates the effects of technological advancements, alterations in consumer and store behavior, and economic developments, giving context for the changes anticipated in Camden Local Government Areas. An examination of market and economic data includes a study of the economy and demography of Camden Local Government Area (LGA), including the degree of "skills leakage," the contribution of various industries, and employment specialization. Important market data was also reviewed.
The supply-side characteristics of the Camden center network, such as the existing floorspace, the investment pipelines, and the planning framework, are examined in this section. To evaluate the viability of certain development categories and mixtures throughout Camden LGA's centers, a number of important centers are undergoing development feasibility testing. An evaluation of competing offers to ascertain whether areas of the Camden LGA are appropriate for which forms of land use.
To support retail demand modeling, SGS updated employment and population statistics using the most recent TPA small area estimates. To evaluate spending in each of Camden's centers through 2036, a retail gravity model was created, projecting spending by center for each year up to that point. The demand for commercial office space was modeled for both business-serving and population-serving commercial office space, taking into account the many factors that influence each category. The results of the modeling exercises for retail and commercial office floorspace have been transformed into a number for "centers floorspace" throughout Camden's centers.
The expected difference between the modeled supply and demand of floorspace throughout Camden's centers until 2036 is indicated by the synthesis of the outputs of supply-side and demand-side versus three different growth scenarios. This includes taking into account how the modeling results may affect specific centers within the Camden Local Government Area (LGA) as well as the network of centers as a whole.
Based on the previously indicated work phases, a draft strategy and action plan have been created. This consists of a list of steps, each assigned to an internal team member, along with a cost estimate, implementation schedule, priority, and a succinct benefit description. A structure for overseeing this strategy has been created.
Background
Located in the Western City District (as defined by the Greater Sydney Commission) in south-west Sydney, Camden LGA is around 60 kilometers southwest of Sydney CBD. The municipality is made up of many greenfield release zones, including a portion of the South West Growth size. Its total land size is around 206 square kilometers. There were about 80,000 people living in Camden LGA at the time of the 2016 Census. Currently, the majority of these people live in the LGA's more developed southern regions, which are centered on the cities of Narellan, Camden, and Mount Annan. Up to 2036, the population of the LGA is expected to expand significantly. Located in the Western City District (as defined by the Greater Sydney Commission) in south-west Sydney, Camden LGA is around 60 kilometers southwest of Sydney CBD.
Camden LGA Satellite view
The municipality is made up of many greenfield release zones, including a portion of the South West Growth size. Its total land size is around 206 square kilometers. There were about 80,000 people living in Camden LGA at the time of the 2016 Census. Currently, the majority of these people live in the LGA's more developed southern regions, which are centered on the cities of Narellan, Camden, and Mount Annan. Up to 2036, the population of the LGA is expected to expand significantly. Camden LGA's employment is expected to more than treble to around 53,000 by 2036. The majority of these employment will be in the service industry and will need floor space in one of Camden LGA's current or prospective activity centers, either for retail or commercial use. Within the larger network, the study's focus will be on neighborhood, subregional, and regional centers. These centers include:
▪ Leppington, a potential regional center that is currently mostly undeveloped but is accessible to downtown Sydney via rail;
▪ Narellan, an existing regional center with a current retail capacity of around 130,000 sq.m;
▪ Camden: a well-established sub-regional center featuring 40,000 square meters of shop space and a historic charm. will continue to be separated from the other built-up region of Camden LGA;
▪ Oran Park is a developing sub-regional hub. 10,000 square meters of shop space now; 50,000 square meters are the goal. centered on municipal buildings and council offices;
▪ Mount Annan: a well-known neighborhood center including 20,000 square meters of shop space;
▪ The Gregory Hills Employment Area (B5) is a burgeoning retail hub that specializes on big format, bulky items; moreover
▪ Spring Farm: a developing neighborhood hub with around 3,500 square meters of retail space; nonetheless, it is expected to expand in proportion to the surrounding populace.
▪ Several minor centers.
Existing and future network
The network of activity centers in Camden LGA is currently underdeveloped, but as the need for population services and retail grows in the future, it is anticipated that these centers will need to expand their floorspace. The majority of Camden LGA's population currently resides in the southern portion of the municipality, which is reflected in the current network of activity centers. Figure 2 illustrates that the majority of Camden's floorspace capacity is located in its northern regions.
The Camden Local Government Area (LGA) has designated Leppington and Narellan as its primary retail and commercial hubs in the future. These places are expected to serve as higher-order, key centers. It is projected that Leppington will employ between 7,000 and 12,500 people by 2036, up from the town's 2016 employment level of about 400 (WCDP 2018). The WCDP projects a more moderate growth in employment in the well-established Narellan center, with employment expected to rise from about 10,600 jobs in 2016 to between 14,000 and 16,500 jobs by 20361. By 2036, these hubs should be able to handle most or all of the employment in the Camden Local Government Area.
Overview
Camden Council has hired SGS to conduct an extensive economic analysis of Camden's network of key and local centers. An evaluation of council strategies and plans against the goals of regional planning documents has revealed the necessity for this strategic effort. This audit showed that a comprehensive center strategy was required, one that could guide future strategic planning and the evaluation of the Local Environment Plan (LEP).
Council objectives
Council is hoping to get a better understanding of the following by hiring SGS to do this work:
▪ Camden's center hierarchy throughout various timeframes (short, medium, and long term);
▪ The schedule for center growth; and ▧ The demographic and infrastructural thresholds that trigger development.
▪ How Camden's centers and their capacity to attract higher-order jobs will be impacted by the growth of the Western City District's metropolitan cluster, with an emphasis on the Aerotropolis.
▪ The availability of commercial and retail floorspace in comparison to anticipated demand.
▪ The predicted amount and kind of jobs, and employment density by place and period.
▪ How the growth of retail services and retail caps in the B5 Business Zone affect the development of Camden's centers.
▪ Important patterns in floorspace demand impacting strategic and local centers and how they will probably change how the centers of Camden Local Government Area are planned.
▪ The comparative advantages and disadvantages of Camden's centers.
▪ The impact on Camden's centers of the establishment of sub-regional centers (like Edmondson Park) in nearby LGAs.
▪ Upcoming projects and research, together with the deadlines and order in which they should be finished.
Challenges and opportunities
Similar to several non-metropolitan areas in large Australian cities, Camden Local Government Area (LGA) encounters a variety of obstacles and prospects for economic advancement. These are listed below.
Challenges
Through this analysis, SGS has come to understand the various obstacles the Council must overcome in order to develop their network of activity centers. These are the most significant among them:
▪ Quick population growth: Camden is among Australia's fastest-growing localities. With several fronts of expansion, it's critical that centers be properly designed to guarantee that both new and current inhabitants have suitable access to merchants, essential services, and job opportunities.
▪ Lack of clarity on infrastructure provision: many rail projects are being considered for the Camden Local Government Area, but their timeline is unknown. Planning for a future center network is difficult because to uncertainty about the scope and timing of new infrastructure, which might drastically alter the Camden economy.
▪ Leppington: Eventually, Leppington is expected to function as a higher-order center, supplying a catchment area. Even though Leppington already has a rail station, the intended activity center has not yet been developed for a variety of reasons. The exact timing of this center's development is unknown, which makes it difficult to plan the other centers in the network.
▪ Effects of increased retail employment on planned and current centers
▪ Allowing for a notable rise in the percentage of jobs in professional services
▪ Drawing in big companies and strategically placing workers
▪ Uncertainty over the NSW Government's potential investments and the function of Western Sydney Airport
▪ Balancing access to employment possibilities and managing expectations on job-self-containment
▪ The effects of urbanization on agriculture
▪ The effects of global warming
▪ Insufficient lodging to facilitate tourism activities
▪ Insufficient floor area for creative sectors
▪ The significance of strategic hubs and the absence of transportation infrastructure to facilitate the expansion of these hubs.
Opportunities:
▪ A local economy and population that are expanding quickly
▪ A sizable percentage of people who live and work locally
▪ Possibility of developing thriving centers
▪ The creation of a nighttime economy in thriving cities
▪ Making use of the industrial precincts that are already successful to help the manufacturing sector grow
▪ The expansion of healthcare
▪ A rise in travel
▪ Expansion of tertiary education facilities
▪ The Western City Deal and the airport's possible connections to the regional economy in Western Sydney.
Strategy and policy review
The Greater Sydney Region Plan and Western Sydney District Plan's metropolitan planning policies must be followed in the design of Camden LGA's centers. These plans are in line with the infrastructure policies of the NSW government, which talk about significant transportation expenditures in the Camden Local Government Area (LGA) that would support population expansion and offer business possibilities that may affect the future course of centers. The future development of centers within the local government area will be guided by the local planning policies and plans of Camden Council, as well as metropolitan planning policies.
Metropolitan planning context
Source: City Planning
Three Cities in One Metropolis: The Greater Sydney Region Plan (2018) The NSW Government's metropolitan planning approach for Greater Sydney is known as the Greater Sydney Region Plan (GSRP). The plan outlines a forty-year plan for Greater Sydney to develop into a metropolis consisting of three cities: Eastern Harbour City, Central River City, and Western Parkland City. The goal is for all residents of Greater Sydney to have a 30-minute commute to the metropolitan center of each city.
The Camden Local Government Area is a component of the Western Parkland City, which is centered around the planned Badgerys Creek Aeropolis and the current centers of Penrith, Campbelltown-Macarthur, and Liverpool. The Western Sydney Airport is anticipated to spark the growth of the nearby Aerotropolis as a higher-order center housing a range of knowledge-intensive occupations, and it is hailed as a "game-changer" for the economic development of Western Sydney.
Relevance to Camden LGA’s centres
The GSRP designates Leppington and Narellan as Strategic Centers within Camden LGA. The purpose of these centers is to serve the local community by offering higher-order services and jobs. They play a major role in the GSRP's 30-minute cities goal, which states that everyone should be able to travel by public transportation to a critical center in 30 minutes or less. The GSRP states that the public transportation system and infrastructure spending should be concentrated around critical hubs in order to bolster this. According to the three cities idea, Sydney would need to expand in a polycentric manner and a significant new center would need to be established in the Badgerys Creek Aeropolis. This center would have train connections to Leppington, Narellan, and other areas of the Camden Local Government Area. Penrith, Liverpool, Aerotropolis, and Campbelltown-Macarthur are referred to as a ring of university towns. Although it would capture demand for educational facilities and related industries that might otherwise locate in other centers, this would expand access to education from Camden LGA. The Plan recognizes the area surrounding Western Sydney Airport as one of three economic corridors in Greater Sydney, in line with the GSRP's vision for the airport's and the Aerotropolis's future economic significance. This corridor travels from the north of the airport site via the Aerotropolis and the Camden LGA to Leppington, following the route of the North-South Rail Link. The centers of Camden LGA may have economic benefits as a result of their proximity to this corridor.
Western City District Plan (2018)
The Western City District Plan (WCDP) is a 20-year plan that aims to manage expansion in the Western City District and assist in realizing the 40-year goal of the GSRP by creating more employment opportunities, transportation options, and services that are in line with district growth. Local planning restrictions must be compatible with the planning goals put out by the WCDP, which is responsible for implementing the GSRP across Western Parkland City. It is also meant to serve as a general framework for strategic land use and transportation planning. The District Plan focuses on district-level planning for housing, jobs, and increased sustainability. The NSW Government's departments and agencies, together with councils, execute planning priorities through their actions.
Relevance to Camden LGA’s centres
General guidelines for the expansion of strategic centers in the future are provided by the WCDP. The main objective for these centers is economic expansion in order to accommodate the additional employment that will be required in the future. Consolidating the function of key centers will involve luring major investment and corporate activity, broadening the spectrum of activities, establishing a public domain with high amenities, and enhancing transportation and access to and from centers. The WCDP...