FYI The Subprime Financial Crisis and the Bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Because it encouraged excessive risk taking, the peculiar structure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac private companies sponsored by the U.S. government was an accident waiting to happen. Earlier editions of this textbook, as well as many economists, predicted exactly what came to pass: a government bailout of both companies, with huge potential losses for American taxpayers. As we learned in Chapter 10, when there is a government safety net for financial institutions, there needs to be appropriate government regulation and supervision to make sure these institutions do not take on excessive risk. Fannie and Freddie were given a federal regulator and supervisor, the Office of Federal Housing Oversight (OFHEO), as a result of legislation in 1992, but this regulator was quite weak with only a limited ability to rein them in. The outcome was not surprising: These GSEs had strong incentives to resist effective regulation and supervision because it would cut into their profits. This is exactly what they did: Fannie and Freddie were legendary for their lobbying machine in the U.S. Congress, and they were not apologetic about it. In 1999, Franklin Raines, at the time Fannie s CEO, said, We manage our political risk with the same intensity that we manage our credit and interest rate risks. * Between 1998 and 2008, Fannie and Freddie jointly spent over US$170 million on lobbyists, and from 2000 to 2008, they and their employees made over US$14 million of political campaign contributions. Their lobbying efforts paid off. Attempts to strengthen their regulator, OFHEO, in both the Clinton and Bush administrations came to naught, and remarkably this was even true after major accounting scandals at both firms were revealed in 2003 and 2004, in which they cooked the books to smooth out earnings. It was only in July of 2008, after the cat was let out of the bag and Fannie and Freddie were in serious trouble, that legislation was passed to put into place a stronger regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, to supersede OFHEO. With a weak regulator and strong incentives to take on risk, Fannie and Freddie grew like crazy, and by 2008 had purchased or were guaranteeing over US$5 trillion in mortgages or mortgage-backed securities. The accounting scandals might have even pushed them to take on more risk. In the 1992 legislation, Fannie and Freddie had been given a mission to promote affordable housing. What better way to do this than to purchase subprime and Alt-A mortgages or mortgage-backed securities (discussed in Chapter 9)? The accounting scandals made this motivation even stronger because they weakened the political support for Fannie and Freddie, giving them even greater incentives to please the U.S. Congress and support affordable housing through the purchase of these assets. By the time the subprime financial crisis hit in force, they had over US$1 trillion of subprime and Alt-A assets on their books. Furthermore, they had extremely low ratios of capital relative to their assets: Indeed their capital ratios were far lower than for other financial institutions like commercial banks.
By 2008, after many subprime mortgages went into default, Fannie and Freddie had booked large losses. Their small capital buffer meant that they had little cushion to withstand these losses, and investors started to pull their money out. With Fannie and Freddie playing such a dominant role in mortgage markets, the U.S. government could not afford to have them go out of business because this would have had a disastrous effect on the availability of mortgage credit, which would have had further devastating effects on the housing market. With bankruptcy imminent, the U.S. Treasury stepped in with a pledge to provide up to US$200 billion of taxpayer money to the companies if needed. This largesse did not come for free. The federal government in effect took over these companies by putting them into conservatorship, requiring that their CEOs step down, and by having their regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, oversee the company’s day-to-day operations. In addition the U.S. government received around US$1 billion of senior preferred stock and the right to purchase 80% of the common stock if the companies recovered. After the bailout, the prices of both companies common stocks was less than 2% of what they had been worth only a year earlier. It is not yet clear how much the government bailout of Fannie and Freddie will cost the American taxpayer. The ultimate fate of these two companies is also unclear. The sad saga of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac illustrate show dangerous it was for the U.S. government to set up GSEs that were exposed to a classic conflict-of-interest problem: They were supposed to serve two masters. As publicly traded corporations, they were expected to maximize profits for their shareholders, but as government agencies, they were obliged to work in the interests of the public. In the end, neither the public nor the shareholders were well served.