For the data set, WW2b, used in Examples 2.4 and 2.5, fit a VAR (2) model to the five dimensional vector (1 − B12)Zt with (n − 3) observations. Use the fitted model to do three-step ahead forecasts...



For the data set, WW2b, used in Examples 2.4 and 2.5, fit a VAR (2) model to the five dimensional


vector (1 −
B12)Z
t
with (n
− 3) observations. Use the fitted model to do


three-step ahead forecasts and evaluate the forecasts. Complete your analysis with a written


report with your software code attached.





For the data set, WW2b, fit the models in Eqs. (2.99) and (2.103) with (n
− 3) observations.


Use the fitted models to do three-step ahead forecasts and compare the forecast performance


of the two models and the model from Project 1. Complete your analysis with a written


report including the software code used.







May 22, 2022
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