Consider the time series model y t =50+ 0.8 y t-l + ε 1 - 0.2 ε t -l a. Is this a stationary time series process? b. What is the mean of the time series? c. If the current observation is y 100 = 270,...


Consider the time series model



yt

=50+ 0.8yt-l

+
ε
1
- 0.2εt

-l


a. Is this a stationary time series process?


b. What is the mean of the time series?


c. If the current observation is y100
= 270, would you expect the next observation to be above or below the mean?



May 25, 2022
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