Betsy's Blue Bonnet Bakery a = 0.3 g = 0.5 b = 0.8 Actual Trend Slope Seasonal Forecast Error Quarter t Sales, Y t T t b t S t F t 2003 W 1 36,500 1988 S 2 43,750 36,500.00 7,250.00 1.20 1988 S 3...

Betsy's Blue Bonnet Bakery


= 0.3 = 0.5  = 0.8
Actual Trend Slope Seasonal Forecast Error
Quarter t
Sales,
Yt Tt bt St Ft
2003
W 1

36,500
1988 S 2

43,750

36,500.00 7,250.00 1.20
1988 S 3

59,920

48,601.00 9,675.50 1.23
1988 F 4

87,440

67,025.55 14,050.03 1.30
2004
W 5

102,240

87,424.90 17,224.69 1.17
1988 S 6

123,420

104,144.98 16,972.38 1.19

125,436.15

(2,016.15)
1988 S 7

139,610

118,753.37 15,790.39 1.19

149,325.16

(9,715.16)
1988 F 8

135,380

125,312.56 11,174.79 1.13

175,522.72

(40,142.72)
2005
W 9

129,470

128,753.89 7,308.06 1.04

159,616.61

(30,146.61)
1988 S 10

137,570

129,989.43 4,271.80 1.08

161,612.88

(24,042.88)
1988 S 11

156,630

133,566.44 3,924.41 1.18

159,379.23

(2,749.23)
1988 F 12

150,980

136,498.26 3,428.11 1.11

154,702.82

(3,722.82)
2006
W 13

143,340

139,362.57 3,146.21 1.03

145,291.38

(1,951.38)
1988 S 14

153,360

142,190.68 2,987.16 1.08

154,509.63

(1,149.63)
1988 S 15

169,730

144,939.30 2,867.89 1.17

170,664.76
...