Bayesian Models Homework · Please provide your answers as a pdf file (first file) · Please upload your model file (second file) Use a Bayesian Belief Network software to create a model and provide...

Bayesian Models Homework

·Please provide your answers as a pdf file (first file)

·Please upload your model file (second file)

Use a Bayesian Belief Network software to create a model and provide answers to the following problem (excel solutions or manual calculations are not accepted)

Problem 1

A new candidate is considering running for president of the United States. The candidate has a 42% probability of winning the Iowa caucus. If a candidate wins Iowa, then there is a 59% probability of winning New Hampshire but if the candidate can’t carry Iowa then there is only a 41% probability of winning New Hampshire. Historically, candidates that win Iowa and New Hampshire have a 71% probability of obtaining the party’s nomination while winning only one of the initial two primaries reduces the probability of obtaining the nomination to 47% and if they fail to win the first two primaries then there is only a 17% probability of winning the nomination. Travis Scott won the nomination for the 2020 elections, what is the probability that he lost the Iowa caucus.

Bayesian Models Homework · Please provide your answers as a pdf file (first file) · Please upload your model file (second file) Use a Bayesian Belief Network software to create a model and provide answers to the following problem (excel solutions or manual calculations are not accepted) Problem 1 A new candidate is considering running for president of the United States. The candidate has a 42% probability of winning the Iowa caucus. If a candidate wins Iowa, then there is a 59% probability of winning New Hampshire but if the candidate can’t carry Iowa then there is only a 41% probability of winning New Hampshire. Historically, candidates that win Iowa and New Hampshire have a 71% probability of obtaining the party’s nomination while winning only one of the initial two primaries reduces the probability of obtaining the nomination to 47% and if they fail to win the first two primaries then there is only a 17% probability of winning the nomination. Travis Scott won the nomination for the 2020 elections, what is the probability that he lost the Iowa caucus.