Based on Bukiet et al. (1997). Many Major League teams (including Oakland, Boston, LA Dodgers, and Toronto) use mathematical models to evaluate baseball players. A common measure of a player’s offensive effectiveness is the number of runs generated per inning (RPI) if a team were made up of nine identical copies of this player. For example, which team would score more runs: a team with nine copies of Ichiro Suzuki or a team with nine copies of Manny Ramirez? We can use simulation to answer this question. Let’s consider a simplified baseball game in which each plate appearance results in one of six outcomes:
■ Out: Runners do not advance.
■ Walk: Runners advance if forced.
■ Single: Runner on first moves to second. All other runners score.
■ Double: Runner on first moves to third. All other runners score.
■ Triple: All runners on base score. ■ Home Run: All runners and batter score. A team gets three outs per inning. You are given the data in the file P11_73.xlsx on Ichiro Suzuki and Manny Ramirez from the 2004 season. Use simulation to determine which hitter is more valuable according to the RPI criterion.
Already registered? Login
Not Account? Sign up
Enter your email address to reset your password
Back to Login? Click here