AssignmentName: Unit 4 Individual Project Deliverable Length: 750–950 words Details: A leader in your firm has been studying the foreign exchange market for a number of years and believes that she can...

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AssignmentName:Unit 4 Individual Project
Deliverable Length:750–950 words
Details:

A leader in your firm has been studying the foreign exchange market for a number of years and believes that she can predict several of the foreign currency exchange rates relative to the U.S. dollar. The firm has $500,000 to invest in the spot, forward, or options markets. Assume that the spot rate is $1.3435 to the euro andthat the forward rate for 12 months is $1.3705 to the euro. However, this leader is sure that the exchange rate in 12 months will be $1.41 to the euro.


In a Word document, include the following:



  • Explain howthis leader in your firmcan speculate on the belief that the euro will be $1.41 in 12 months.

  • Calculate the amount of profit (ignoring exchange rate fees) that can be earned and the percentage return achieved.

  • Recommend whether this speculative investment or another investment with similar or higher returns at lower risk should be selected. Explain your reasoning.

  • Be sure to consider how the inflation rate would affect the return.




Answered Same DayDec 20, 2021

Answer To: AssignmentName: Unit 4 Individual Project Deliverable Length: 750–950 words Details: A leader in...

Robert answered on Dec 20 2021
125 Votes
International risk 1

Running Head: INTERNATIONAL RISK.
Name
Institution
Date
International risks 2

According to Weerapana (2010), most of the activities that involve f
oreign exchange
positions are mostly speculative but the problem is that exposure to the risks associated with
foreign exchange is not the real meaning of exchange rate speculation. In foreign exchange
speculation, the expected returns are dependent on the changes in the rate that is expected or
the difference between forward rate and the future expected exchange rate. Through
speculation the expectations are that relevant prices will change in relation to the ruling price
however this is not a gain from the use or transformation in them or even transfers between
markets. Foreign exchange speculation arises from bilateral exchange rates. An option to the
leader is selective hedging strategy by beating the market to be successful
Spot market
The firm having $500,000 would like to invest the amount in the spot market at a rate
of $1.3435 to the euro. If the exchange rate changes to $1.41 in 12 months the investment
would change from ($500,000*$1.3435) =$671750 to ($500,000*$1.41) =$705,000. The
difference in this case would be an increase of . Ignoring exchange rate fees, the firm
could evaluate the benefits that could be derived if the investment is done after twelve
months while taking into account the rate of inflation or if it is done at the moment at a cost
of $671750 as compared to the same investment being undertaken in the future at a higher
cost of $705,000. Since the firm has the funds at the moment, it would be easy for it to invest
however the situation could have been different if the amount is borrowed therefore carrying
borrowing costs with it. Therefore the difference...
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