Assessment Type: Case Study – individual assessment. 2,500 +/- 10% words.Purpose: To allow students to demonstrate an understanding of the various portfolio analysis techniques applicable to real...

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Answer To: Assessment Type: Case Study – individual assessment. 2,500 +/- 10% words.Purpose: To allow students...

Shakeel answered on May 23 2021
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Portfolio’s performance report
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Executive Summary
This paper analyze the performance of three different stock – BHP, CSL and WBC, equally weighted portfolio constructed from these three stocks and ASX 200 (market proxy) for next 10 years from 2009 to 2019. Their risk-return is analysis is carried out through different measures like Arithmetic average annual return, Geometric average annual return, Standard Deviation of returns, Coefficient of variation and Sharpe ratio. The analysis shows that CSL is the best performing while WBC remai
ns the worst performer. The portfolio’s performance remains moderate although, better than ASX 200. The analysis suggests that portfolio’s performance can be further improved by excluding the WBC stock and include some other one. Alternatively, the fund allocation between these three stocks should be modified with high allocation to CSL or BHP stocks and least allocation to WBC stocks.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary    2
Introduction    4
Investment in stocks    6
Stock and Market trend    7
Investment trend    10
Portfolio and market’s performance    12
Risk-Return Analysis on Stock, Portfolio and Market    14
Correlation between Portfolio and ASX 200    16
Sharpe ratios    16
Conclusion    17
References    18
Introduction
Investment in a single stock is a risky approach where all the risk and return over the stocks is attributed to the performance of single stock. Investor can either make good profit or lose significantly. Due to such high risk of stock, Investors demand higher return over the investment (Baker, M., &Wurgler, J. 2007). Hence, investment in collection of securities from different asset classes is the wise move. Therefore, investment in portfolio has always been a preferred option for investors especially, who doesn’t want to take high risk but at the same time, wants to earn a good return. However, asset allocation to different securities should be made carefully. Investors aim for a return by mixing these securities should be in a way that reflects their risk tolerance and financial goals (Silva, 2019).
In this report, three different stocks – BHP, CSL and WBC are taken for the construction of portoflio. Investment of $600,000 is equally distributed among three stocks and therefore, an equally weighted portfolio is constructed. Portfolio is constructed on Dec 2009 and so its performance is analyzed through next ten years till 2019. The risk-return analysis is conducted for both individual stocks and portfolio over next ten years. Portfolio’s performance is also analyzed in compare to market performance. The risk-adjusted return of portfolio is carried out through Sharpe ratio. The purpose of the analysis to evaluate the performance of Individual stock, portfolio and market Index (ASX 200) so Investor may have proper insight on his Investment performance and accordingly he can take decision of any changes in his portfolio by including some other stock or excluding some of the existing stocks or change the asset allocation in his current stocks.
The analysis is carried out by taking the December ended yearly closing price of the three stocks and ASX 200 from 2009 to 2019. The data is taken in the excel sheet and then the yearly return and std. deviation is calculated for each of the three stocks and ASX 200. Then, the portfolio’s annual returns – both arithmetic annual return and geometric annual return are calculated for each year. The correlation and covariance matrix for all the three stocks’ yearly return are prepared to check the degree of correlation among the annual returns on the stocks. Finally, the Sharpe ratio of portfolio is calculated to test the portfolio’s risk adjusted return. Based on the calculation and analysis, the recommendation is made to the Investor.
Investment in stocks
The Investment of $600,000 is invested in three different stocks – BHP, CSH and WBC. Here, despite of whole investment in single security, investment is made in three different stocks from different Industry and sectors and it is a good move of the Investor. Portfolio has always been a good choice for investors who have average level of risk tolerance and want to earn a moderate return over long time period. The preference of portfolio over a single asset is mainly attributed to benefit of diversification. Since, portfolio consist number of securities from different asset classes in different proportions, the total risk gets reduced and accordingly, the total return also gets moderated. In the words of Kulkarni (2007), “Instead of one security, if investment is made in collection or basket of securities, the overall risk is diversified and thus, portfolio thus constructed provides average return over moderate risk.”
As on Dec 2009, the closing price of three different stocks and ASX 200 are given. So, if Investment of $600,000 is made equally in three stocks, the number of each stock that can be purchased is calculated by dividing the Amount invested ($200,000) by Stock price. If the whole Investment would have been made in ASX 200 then the number of ASX 200 units that could be purchased is also calculated in the same way. Therefore, the number of stocks and ASX 200 purchased on the Dec 2009 is given in table 1 below –
    Table1: Asset allocation
    
    BHP
    CSL
    WBC
    ASX 200
    Amount Invested
    $200,000
    $200,000
    $200,000
    $600,000
    Closing price
    37.14
    31.56
    24.91
    4,870.60
    No of shares purchased
    5,385
    6,337
    8,029
    123
WBC has higher number of purchased stocks (8,029) followed by CSL (6,337) and BHP (5,385).
Stock and Market trend
Table 2 shows the December closing price of all the three stocks and ASX 200 from 2009 to 2019 –
    Table2: Stock and market price
    Year
    BHP
    CSL
    WBC
    ASX 200
    2009
    37.14
    31.56
    24.91
    4,870.60
    2010
    39.27
    36.3
    22.21
    4,745.20
    2011
    30.83
    32.18
    20.55
    4,056.60
    2012
    31.21
    53.79
    25.58
    4,648.90
    2013
    31.88
    67.42
    31.39
    5,352.20
    2014
    25.39
    86.36
    32.42
    5,411.00
    2015
    16.81
    101.55
    32.24
    5,295.90
    2016
    24.38
    97.16
    32.15
    5,665.80
    2017
    26.96
    141.91
    31.37
    6,065.30
    2018
    31.32
    181.08
    24.95
    5,646.40
    2019
    38.85
    280.78
    24.35
    6,684.10
The graph of stock price movement over next 10 years is given in graph 1 below –
Graph 1: Stock price movement
BHP and WBC has almost similar price movement but CSL has shown a spectacular rise in price after 2011. Even, 2016 onwards, the CSL price rises sharply as never before.
During the same period the ASX 200 movement...
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