Again using the data in Table A.1, estimate probabilities of the Ithaca maximum temperature being at or below freezing (32F), given that the previous day’s maximum temperature was at or below...

Again using the data in Table A.1, estimate probabilities of the Ithaca maximum temperature being at or below freezing (32F), given that the previous day’s maximum temperature was at or below freezing,

a. Accounting for the persistence in the temperature data.

b. Assuming (incorrectly) that sequences of daily temperatures are independent.