A market demand has 3 possible states namely GOOD, NORMAL and BAD for each period. At each period there are 2 possible decisions for the manager as do nothing/ make promotion. The transition matrix of...


A market demand has 3 possible states namely GOOD, NORMAL and BAD for each period.<br>At each period there are 2 possible decisions for the manager as do nothing/ make promotion. The<br>transition matrix of states regarding for possible decisions are given as below<br>Pof do nothing<br>GOOD<br>NORMAL<br>BAD<br>GOOD<br>0.4<br>0.2<br>04<br>0.3<br>0.2<br>0.5<br>NORMAL<br>0.5<br>BAD<br>0.1<br>0.4<br>Pof make promotion<br>GOOD<br>NORMAL<br>BAD<br>0.4<br>0.4<br>0.5<br>GOOD<br>0.2<br>NORMAL<br>04<br>0.1<br>BAD<br>0.3<br>0.4<br>0.3<br>It is known that the income for each period when the state in GOOD, NORMAL and BAD are 10000,<br>7000, 2000. Cost for do nothing is 0, and make promotion is 3000.<br>a) Given at period 0 the state is NORMAL, estimate expected beneft obtain two periods when the<br>sequence of decisions is do nothing, do nothing<br>b) Given at period 0 the state is NORMAL, estimate expected beneft obtain two periods when the<br>sequence of decisions is make promotion, make promotion<br>

Extracted text: A market demand has 3 possible states namely GOOD, NORMAL and BAD for each period. At each period there are 2 possible decisions for the manager as do nothing/ make promotion. The transition matrix of states regarding for possible decisions are given as below Pof do nothing GOOD NORMAL BAD GOOD 0.4 0.2 04 0.3 0.2 0.5 NORMAL 0.5 BAD 0.1 0.4 Pof make promotion GOOD NORMAL BAD 0.4 0.4 0.5 GOOD 0.2 NORMAL 04 0.1 BAD 0.3 0.4 0.3 It is known that the income for each period when the state in GOOD, NORMAL and BAD are 10000, 7000, 2000. Cost for do nothing is 0, and make promotion is 3000. a) Given at period 0 the state is NORMAL, estimate expected beneft obtain two periods when the sequence of decisions is do nothing, do nothing b) Given at period 0 the state is NORMAL, estimate expected beneft obtain two periods when the sequence of decisions is make promotion, make promotion

Jun 10, 2022
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