A basketball player claims to make 47% of her shots from the field. We want to simulate the player taking sets of 10 shots, assuming that her claim is true. Suppose this player attempts 10 shots in a...

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A basketball player claims to make 47% of her shots from the field. We want to simulate the player taking sets of 10 shots, assuming that her claim is true.

Suppose this player attempts 10 shots in a game and only makes 3 of them. Does this provide convincing evidence that she is less than a 47% shooter?


(a) Yes, because 3/10 (30%) is less than 47%.


(b) Yes, because she never made 47% of her shots in the simulation.


(c) No, because it is plausible that she would make 3 or fewer shots by chance alone.


(d) No, because the simulation was only repeated 25 times.


(e) No, because the distribution is approximately symmetric.




Answered Same DayDec 25, 2021

Answer To: A basketball player claims to make 47% of her shots from the field. We want to simulate the player...

David answered on Dec 25 2021
110 Votes
Let us calculate the probability of getting such a low score.
P (X ≤ 3), n = 10, p = 0.47
P (X ≤ 3
) = P (0 ≤ X ≤ 3) = P (X = 0, 1, 2, 3)
= P (X = 0) + P (X = 1) + P (X = 2) + P (X = 3) (because these are disjoint
events)
P (X = 0) =
(10
0
)
(0.47)0(1 − 0.47)10 = 1(0.47)0(0.53)10 ≈ 0.001749
P (X = 1) =
(10
1
)
(0.47)1(1 − 0.47)9 = 10(0.47)1(0.53)9 ≈ 0.015509
P (X = 2)...
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