4. An insurance company has a portfolio of 10,000 policies. Based on past data the company estimates that the probability of a claim on any one policy in a year is 0.003. It assumes no policy will...


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4. An insurance company has a portfolio of 10,000 policies. Based on past data the company<br>estimates that the probability of a claim on any one policy in a year is 0.003. It assumes<br>no policy will generate more than one claim in a year.<br>(a) Determine the approximate probability of more than 40 claims from the portfolio<br>of 10,000 policies in a year.<br>(4)<br>(b) Determine an approximate equal-tailed interval into which the number of claims<br>per year will fall with probability 0.95.<br>(2)<br>(c) In practice 42 claims were received in a particular year. A Director of the company<br>complains about the range of estimates in part (b) being wrong.<br>Comment on the Director's complaint.<br>(2)<br>

Extracted text: 4. An insurance company has a portfolio of 10,000 policies. Based on past data the company estimates that the probability of a claim on any one policy in a year is 0.003. It assumes no policy will generate more than one claim in a year. (a) Determine the approximate probability of more than 40 claims from the portfolio of 10,000 policies in a year. (4) (b) Determine an approximate equal-tailed interval into which the number of claims per year will fall with probability 0.95. (2) (c) In practice 42 claims were received in a particular year. A Director of the company complains about the range of estimates in part (b) being wrong. Comment on the Director's complaint. (2)

Jun 08, 2022
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