2)Suppose that the probability of an earthquake in Southern Illinois is 30%. Your are the owner of a company in Southern Illinois. If an earthquake occurs, you expect that the damage to your...

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2)Suppose that the probability of an earthquake in Southern Illinois is 30%. Your are the owner of a company in Southern Illinois. If an earthquake occurs, you expect that the damage to your manufacturing facility is $20 million. If you reinforce your facility, the damage expected if an earthquake occurs will be lowered to $10 million. Reinforcing the facility will cost $3 million. In 70% of the places where and earthquake has occurred, a fault line was 1 mile or less away. However, 30% of the places where an earthquake has not occurred are also within 1 mile of a fault line. A seismic test can be conducted to precisely locate the nearest fault line to your facility. Suppose earthquakes are predicted based on the seismic test information;i.e., an earthquake is predicted if a fault line is 1 mile or less away, and no earthquake is predicted otherwise. What is the maximum amount of money you are willing to pay for the seismic test?

Answered Same DayDec 21, 2021

Answer To: 2)Suppose that the probability of an earthquake in Southern Illinois is 30%. Your are the owner of a...

David answered on Dec 21 2021
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2)Suppose that the probability of an earthquake in Southern Illinois is 30%. Your are the owner of a company in Southern Illinois. If an earthquake occurs, you expect that the damage to your manufacturing facility is $20 million. If you reinforce your facility, the damage expected if an earthquake occurs will be lowered to $10 million. Reinforcing the facility will cost $3 million. In 70% of the places where and earthquake has occurred, a fault line was 1 mile or less away. However, 30% of the places where an earthquake has not occurred are also within 1 mile of a fault line. A seismic test can be conducted to precisely...
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