1. The gross domestic product (GDP) of the United States from 1993 to 2003 is given in the table below. The numbers are in billions of U.S. dollars. Develop forecasts for the GDP of 2004 using...


1. The gross domestic product (GDP) of the United States from 1993 to 2003 is given in the table below. The numbers are in billions of U.S. dollars. Develop forecasts for the GDP of 2004 using exponential smoothing with smoothing constants of 0.4 and 0.6. Assume the forecast is $6,657 for 1993. Which of these models has the lowest mean absolute deviation?






















































Year



GDP ($Billions)



1993



6,657



1994



7,072



1995



7,398



1996



7,817



1997



8,304



1998



8,747



1999



9,268



2000



9,817



2001



10,128



2002



10,487



2003



11,004



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??2. Given monthly sales for XYZ company below, develop forecasts for thesales in time period 11using exponential smoothing with smoothing constants of 0.3 and 0.7. Assume the forecast is 67 forperiod1.



May 20, 2022
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