1. Suppose the chance for a White Christmas at your home is 10 percent. Last Christmas was a white one. If for next year you forecast a “non-white” Christmas, will you have shown any skill if your...

1. Suppose the chance for a White Christmas at your home is 10 percent. Last Christmas was a white one. If for next year you forecast a “non-white” Christmas, will you have shown any skill if your forecast turns out to be correct? Explain.

2. Explain how the phrase “sensitive dependence on initial conditions” relates to the final outcome of a computer based weather forecast.