1. Order of Magnitude Problem (OM) The proven oil reserves of the Arctic National Wildlife Refugee ( ANWR up in Alaska) are estimated at 10.4 * 10^9 barrels ( 10 billion bbls). USA uses 20 * 10^6...

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Answered Same DayMar 18, 2021

Answer To: 1. Order of Magnitude Problem (OM) The proven oil reserves of the Arctic National Wildlife Refugee (...

Yasodharan answered on Mar 19 2021
155 Votes
Q.no: 1
a)
ANWR oil reserve = 10.4*109 barrels
USA consumption     = 20*106 barrels per day (50% local & 50% import)
            = 7.3*109 barrels per year
How long ANWR last
b)
If US consumption increases 3% each year means 1.5% will be get increased in import as below,
    Year
    USA Consumption (per day cons
umption considered to do for yearly calculation)
    1
    100%
    20*106
    2
    103%
    20.6*106
    3
    106%
    21.83*106
    4
    109%
    23.8*106
    5
    112%
    26.66*106
    6
    115%
    30.66*106
    7
    118%
    36.17*106
    8
    121%
    43.77*106
So, in 8th year consumption gets doubled at 3% growth rate
c)
ANWR oil reserve = 10.4*109 barrels
3% reduction in local production filled with ANWR supply so we get,
    3% less each year
    Year
    3% Less
    Short in Production
    ANWR
    ANWR depletion
    100%
    0
    3650000000.00
    0.00
    10400000000.00
    0.00
    97%
    1
    3540500000.00
    109500000.00
    10400000000.00
    10290500000.00
    94%
    2
    3328070000.00
    321930000.00
    10290500000.00
    9968570000.00
    91%
    3
    3028543700.00
    621456300.00
    9968570000.00
    9347113700.00
    88%
    4
    2665118456.00
    984881544.00
    9347113700.00
    8362232156.00
    85%
    5
    2265350687.60
    1384649312.40
    8362232156.00
    6977582843.60
    82%
    6
    1857587563.83
    1792412436.17
    6977582843.60
    5185170407.43
    79%
    7
    1467494175.43
    2182505824.57
    5185170407.43
    3002664582.86
    76%
    8
    1115295573.32
    2534704426.68
    3002664582.86
    467960156.18
    73%
    9
    814165768.53
    2835834231.47
    467960156.18
    -2367874075.29
    70%
    10
    569916037.97
    3080083962.03
    
    
    67%
    11
    381843745.44
    3268156254.56
    
    
    64%
    12
    244379997.08
    3405620002.92
    
    
    61%
    13
    149071798.22
    3500928201.78
    
    
    58%
    14
    86461642.97
    3563538357.03
    
    
    55%
    15
    47553903.63
    3602446096.37
    
    
    52%
    16
    24728029.89
    3625271970.11
    
    
    49%
    17
    12116734.65
    3637883265.35
    
    
    46%
    18
    5573697.94
    3644426302.06
    
    
    43%
    19
    2396690.11
    3647603309.89
    
    
    40%
    20
    958676.05
    3649041323.95
    
    
    37%
    21
    354710.14
    3649645289.86
    
    
    34%
    22
    120601.45
    3649879398.55
    
    
    31%
    23
    37386.45
    3649962613.55
    
    
    28%
    24
    10468.21
    3649989531.79
    
    
    25%
    25
    2617.05
    3649997382.95
    
    
    22%
    26
    575.75
    3649999424.25
    
    
    19%
    27
    109.39
    3649999890.61
    
    
    16%
    28
    17.50
    3649999982.50
    
    
    13%
    29
    2.28
    3649999997.72
    
    
    10%
    30
    0.23
    3649999999.77
    
    
    7%
    31
    0.02
    3649999999.98
    
    
    4%
    32
    0.00
    3650000000.00
    
    
    1%
    33
    0.00
    3650000000.00
    
    
On 29th year local production is empty and by 8th year dependence on ANWR for local production fall by 3% also gets dried up. In general, ANWR holds up to 8 year for supporting local production depletion.
Q.no: 2
In case of less known scenarios, efficiency is computed using given input and output temperature conditions as below,
Q.no: 3
Typical Dutch mill will be having diameter of 44 metres.
Swept are of windmill,
Wind speed (V) = 10 m/s
Density of air = 1.225 kg/m3
Typical windmill...
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